From Worst to... (The Last 20 Years)

[THE PISTONS]

(12-31-2019, 05:51 PM)Wes Mantooth Wrote: Ok, so I figured I'd look at the last 20 years of how the teams who finished last, and/or had the #1 pick, fared the following years.  I figured that this could maybe serve as a decent talking point, and could provide some details. I've tried to compile a lot of different stats without going absolutely nuts and creating a wall of words. 

So I'm going to basically list the records of each team for the following season, then a few different numbers, and lastly, I'll list out each team who finished .500 or above and some info.  Here it goes....

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Year - Team --- Loss-Win-Tie *** (Misc. Note)

2000 - Browns --- 3-13

2001 - Chargers --- 5-11 *** (Traded pick)

2002 - Texans --- 4-12 *** (Expansion)

2003 - Bengals --- 8-8

2004 - Chargers --- 12-4

2005 - 49'ers --- 4-12

2006 - Texans --- 6-10

2007 - Raiders --- 4-12

2008 - Dolphins --- 11-5

2009 - Lions --- 2-14

2010 - Rams --- 7-9

2011 - Panthers --- 6-10

2012 - Colts --- 11-5

2013 - Chiefs --- 11-5

2014 - Texans --- 9-7

2015 - Bucaneers --- 6-10

2016 - Rams --- 4-12

2017 - Browns --- 0-16

2018 - Browns --- 7-8-1

2019 - Cardinals --- 5-9-1

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Notes

--- The Average Winning % of these teams is .394 (125-193-2).  That puts the average win total at 6.5 games.

--- 4 teams made the playoffs. (20%)

--- Not a single team won a playoff game.

--- 5 of the 6 (83%) winning teams (.500 or above) had a new Head Coach.

--- 6 of of the 6 (100%) winning teams had at least one new Coordinator.

--- 4 of the 6 (67%) winning teams had a new GM.

--- 6 of the 6 winning teams had at least 2 of the following: New coach, new GM, new OC, new DC

--- 5 of the 6 winning teams had at least 3 of the following: New coach, new GM, new OC, new DC

--- Only 1 of the winning teams (16%) started a rookie QB. (Andrew Luck - Colts)

--- Only 1 rookie QB team won more than 7 games.

---The last coach to finish dead last his 1st year that made it to year 2 with most of staff then proceeded to go 0-16 in year 2. (Hue J)

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Successful Examples

2003 - Bengals New Coach (Marvin Lewis)-New DC (Leslie Frazier)-Vet QB (Jon Kitna)
2004 - Chargers - New GM (AJ Smith)-New DC (Wade Phillips)-Vet QB (Drew Brees)
2008 - Dolphins - New Coach (Tony Sparono)-New GM (Bill Parcells)-New OC (Dan Henning)-New DC (Paul Pasqualoni)-Vet QB (Chad Pennington)
2012 - Colts - New Coach (Chuck Pagnano)-New GM (Ryan Grigson)-New OC (Bruce Arians)-New DC (Greg Manusky)-Rookie QB (Andrew Luck)
2013 - Chiefs - New Coach (Andy Reid)-New GM (John Dorsey)-New OC (Doug Pederson)-New DC (Bob Sutton)-Vet QB (Alex Smith)
2014 - Texans - New Coach (Bill Obrien)-New DC (Romeo Crennel)-Vet QB (Ryan Fitzpatrick)

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Yeah...because bad teams in the NFL are generally not 1 player away. We need to upgrade like 25-30% of the roster. Burrow wont do that.