02-13-2020, 02:17 PM
(02-13-2020, 01:33 PM)pdub2005 Wrote: I am pretty sure there have been a lot more undrafted free agents late round picks that have gone on to be awful, adequate, or mediocre than have turned into Kurt Warner or Tom Brady. I would bet a big share of my net worth that top pick QBs turn into pro-bowlers more often than guys drafted outside of the first round. Sure you can get a Russell Wilson in the late rounds, if you are insanely lucky. 5 of 13 QBs in 2018 were first rounders, 3 of 11 in 2019. Many more QBs are taken outside the first round, and thats not even getting into whether they were top 3, 5, or 10 picks. If you strike gold, you can find yourself a starter, but most more guys end up being Ryan Finley than Tom Brady. I will take my chances on the guy who just made FBS football look easy.
I put Tom Brady and Kurt Warner in my "can't see this coming outliers" category. I'm just saying look at Mahommes for example...3rd QB off the board and he goes to a team dedicated to winning and putting him in a position to succeed. He's a top 10 pick, not the 199th pick.
Burrow to us is going to be good. Burrow to a team that trades up to get him like the Chiefs did for Mahommes would likely be a lot better.