04-17-2020, 10:33 AM
(04-16-2020, 11:31 PM)jj22 Wrote: So it's come to this. That was fast. A big year under the Burrow spotlight will likely net us a 3rd round comp pick which isn't a 2nd, but we get the big year and big team success out of it
Is that worth a drop in round with the extra 2021 pick?
I'm in the don't pay a running back big money camp, and believe you can get good ones late with the right system/oline. But if you got a elite one get the 4 years out of him at the very least. Mixon in a contract year may be just what this offense needs to put it over the top.
Mixon doesn't have the wear and tear on the wheels so he has that going for him.
First off, you have to remember that it'd be a comp pick in 2022 vs a pick now in 2020.
Secondly, I don't think Mixon is going to warrant a 3rd round comp pick.
WRs are out there making $20m/yr, QBs are making $30m+/yr. They don't tell what the exact formula for comp picks are, but it's at least largely based off contract size. Le'Veon Bell got 4yr/$52.5m, which means 3yr of a great WR or 2yr of a good QB getting paid in FA will surpass that total.
Think Mixon in FA (assuming he does really well in 2020) netting at best a 4th or 5th round compensatory pick (in 2022) based solely upon the fact that other positions simply get paid more. He's not going to get Zeke or McCaffrey money shy of running for 2k and catching for another 700-1k in 2020.
____________________________________________________________
The 2021 season Super Bowl was over 1,000 days ago.