QB Index by Gregg Rosenthal

[Luvnit2]

(10-18-2015, 01:08 AM)Nately120 Wrote:


You'd actually be right and sort of wrong (though very slightly) on this one.  The only way Dalton has a significantly (as in more than .003) better TD to INT ratio is if you don't count his performance in the 4 playoff games.  I do count those, because I plan on counting them this season when Dalton throws around 10 or so TDs on the road to the Super Bowl.

The truth of it is that Dalton and Palmer have some very similar numbers.  I actually (a while back) extrapolated Dalton's INT % (pre-2015 tear) to Palmer's number of attempts (pre 2015 tear of his) and what I came up with was Dalton throwing 1 less INT in as many attempts.  The guys are pretty similar, though one could argue the TD stat is misleading because Palmer lead the league in TD's with 32 and Dalton threw 33 TDs and ended up 20 or so short of the #1 spot.  The times they are a changing.

Anyways, both guys put up some similar numbers.  Sorry, not much controversy here.  Dalton has a super slight lead in TD to INT ratio (.003, to be exact), and Palmer is a fraction more efficient in throwing TDs with Dalton a fraction more efficient at not throwing picks.  The bottom line is you can expect each guy to throw a TD every 21 attempts and an INT every 32.  Also of note, both guys threw 20 INTs on exactly 586 attempts.  It's like a living mirror, at times.

Both guys throw an INT every 32 (33 for Dalton if you want to round up) attempts, so if Palmer is an interception machine I guess we traded him for a slightly newer model interception machine 2.0?

Palmer sat as a rookie, Dalton did not.

You are comparing a seasoned vet stats to a 4+ year QB so you would think the vet would put up a lot better numbers.

My point is QB's who survive their early years more often than not improve with game experience.