05-04-2020, 06:05 PM
(05-04-2020, 11:06 AM)Luvnit2 Wrote: Did you know 30 teams have made a decision on whether to pick up the 5th year option. Of the 30, 18 said yes and 12 said no. Of the top 10 picks a surprising 50% (%) said no. Ross was not picked up by us. Trubisky was not picked up by the Bears highlighting what Fred always says how hard it is to predict success in the draft, eve in round 1 with a QB
http://www.nfl.com/news/story/0ap3000001111914/article/fifthyear-option-tracker-for-2017-firstround-picks
I know many hated the Ross pick and are jumping for joy he failed to make you look good, but the facts show it was a tough draft to pick a winner, not by us, but many others as well.
Not surprising. Historically, the experts are right about 50% of the time in the first round and their success rates get worse with each successive round. Just shows that arguing over whether a player is a top 5 or top 10 pick versus a low first round pick is pretty pointless. Even the experts are making educated guesses which are wrong more often than not.
