05-29-2020, 01:40 PM
(05-29-2020, 12:39 PM)Wes Mantooth Wrote: Converting a 4th and 15 doesn't feel all that special to me. And I feel like the success rate would nearly double (30-40%), given the team going for it.
The numbers don't support your theory. Over the last 5 years NFL teams have converted only 21 of 123 4th and 15+ situations. No on QB has converted more than one, and there are as many lower tier QBs who have done it (Geno Smith, T.J. Yates, Lac Edwards, Tom Savage, Blake Bortles, Danial Jones, Josh McCowan) as big name stars.