05-29-2020, 01:57 PM
(05-29-2020, 01:02 PM)Destro Wrote: While nothing is "easy," completing for 15 yards seems a lot more probable to happen than an onside kick. Better than a hail mary, as you don't have to get to the end zone and DPI is still likely. So much has to go right in the game for the onside kick.
Until the rule changes in 2018 the success rate of an "expected" on-side kick was around 20%.
Over the last 5 years the conversion rate on 4th and 15+ is 17%.
Pretty much identical.
