05-29-2020, 04:14 PM
(05-29-2020, 03:53 PM)Shake n Blake Wrote: My gut tells me the same thing (that an onside kick is tougher to convert than a 4th and 15).
Now that Fred provided the numbers for exactly 4th and 15, it'd be interesting to see the conversion rate for onside kicks over the same span.
I have a feeling it's lower than 24%, but seeing the numbers would be nice.
The success rate for an "expected" on side kick was right around 20% until the rule change in 2018. Not it is around 8%.
Interesting to note that the success rate for a "surprise" on side kick was close to 60%.