05-29-2020, 04:36 PM
(05-29-2020, 03:53 PM)Shake n Blake Wrote: Now that Fred provided the numbers for exactly 4th and 15, it'd be interesting to see the conversion rate for onside kicks over the same span.
A lot of those 4th and 15's in his numbers probably featured plays where the yardage needed was greater than the first down. i.e. You have to score, you have to get into field goal range, etc.
Also, none of them were untimed either, which changes quite a bit. No rushing up to ball, no having to ignore the middle of field so you can get out of bounds.
As much as Fred loves stats, even he can't find them that can accurately measure success for this play. It's a completely unique situation.
