06-03-2020, 01:53 PM
I know this can be easily debated and no one has a definitive answer with facts, but as we (hopefully) get into the season, I wanted to at least share my typical expectations for when I expect draft picks to see significant snaps on offense/defense and play well enough in those snaps to be considered a decent player.
My general guidance is 500+ snaps and a PFF rating of 60+.
Rd 1 - I expect a 1st round pick to be able to, in most occasions, play at a decent level with significant snaps as a rookie if/when called upon.
Rds 2-4 - Add a year by round for when I expect to see a player contribute well on offense/defense. So Rd 2 is by (end of) year 2, Rd 3 is by year 3, Rd 4 is by year 4 (typically their last year under rookie contract).
Rds 5-7 - Similar to above, add a year each round. However, since all rookie contracts after Rd 1 don't go beyond 4 years, I don't expect any player drafted Rd 5 or later to play significant defensive/offensive reps until their next contract (if at all). If a Rd 5-7 pick ends up just as a core STer, that's understandable in my eyes.
Some key exceptions I have for the above are players who miss significant time due to injury.
Anyone else have similar expectations for draft picks? Or completely different?
My general guidance is 500+ snaps and a PFF rating of 60+.
Rd 1 - I expect a 1st round pick to be able to, in most occasions, play at a decent level with significant snaps as a rookie if/when called upon.
Rds 2-4 - Add a year by round for when I expect to see a player contribute well on offense/defense. So Rd 2 is by (end of) year 2, Rd 3 is by year 3, Rd 4 is by year 4 (typically their last year under rookie contract).
Rds 5-7 - Similar to above, add a year each round. However, since all rookie contracts after Rd 1 don't go beyond 4 years, I don't expect any player drafted Rd 5 or later to play significant defensive/offensive reps until their next contract (if at all). If a Rd 5-7 pick ends up just as a core STer, that's understandable in my eyes.
Some key exceptions I have for the above are players who miss significant time due to injury.
Anyone else have similar expectations for draft picks? Or completely different?
Zac Taylor 2019-2020: 6 total wins
Zac Taylor 2021-2022: Double-digit wins each season, plus 5 postseason wins
Zac Taylor 2023: 9 wins despite losing Burrow half the season
Zac Taylor 2024: Started 1-4. If he can turn this into a playoff appearance, it will be impressive.
Sorry for Party Rocking!
Zac Taylor 2021-2022: Double-digit wins each season, plus 5 postseason wins
Zac Taylor 2023: 9 wins despite losing Burrow half the season
Zac Taylor 2024: Started 1-4. If he can turn this into a playoff appearance, it will be impressive.
Sorry for Party Rocking!