06-03-2020, 09:35 PM
(06-03-2020, 01:53 PM)ochocincos Wrote: I know this can be easily debated and no one has a definitive answer with facts, but as we (hopefully) get into the season, I wanted to at least share my typical expectations for when I expect draft picks to see significant snaps on offense/defense and play well enough in those snaps to be considered a decent player.
My general guidance is 500+ snaps and a PFF rating of 60+.
Rd 1 - I expect a 1st round pick to be able to, in most occasions, play at a decent level with significant snaps as a rookie if/when called upon.
Rds 2-4 - Add a year by round for when I expect to see a player contribute well on offense/defense. So Rd 2 is by (end of) year 2, Rd 3 is by year 3, Rd 4 is by year 4 (typically their last year under rookie contract).
Rds 5-7 - Similar to above, add a year each round. However, since all rookie contracts after Rd 1 don't go beyond 4 years, I don't expect any player drafted Rd 5 or later to play significant defensive/offensive reps until their next contract (if at all). If a Rd 5-7 pick ends up just as a core STer, that's understandable in my eyes.
Some key exceptions I have for the above are players who miss significant time due to injury.
Anyone else have similar expectations for draft picks? Or completely different?
Same expectations, just varies considering the player at what position of need.
For example I expect Logan Wilson to see more snaps as a rookie on Defense than say Tee Higgins.
That is, unless injuries happen once again to our top WR's.
