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My general expectations for draft picks
#6
Given that there's a 53 man roster and you only get 7 pick each year, they're going to come along a lot faster than taking years to contribute especially for a team that relies on the draft. Also, it's not just about becoming a starter, but they have to play at starter level, unlike some of our recent OL picks. If you lose 4 starters each year on average, let's say, then you gotta draft 4 eventual starters each year, on average.

A 1st round pick should become a starter quickly and not eventually. Quickly meaning early in the season.

A 2nd round pick should be a starter by the end of year 1. This isn't too unreasonable considering many 2nd round picks become starters in year 1, so why not take someone who is going to improve the team now? Some examples are Chad Johnson, Corey Dillon, Joe Mixon, Bates, Cris Collinsworth, Eric Steinbach, Andy Dalton, Tyler Boyd, Carlos Dunlap, Rey Maualuga, Andrew Whitworth, Darney Scott, Tony McGee. Some bad 2nd picks were Jake Fisher, Devon Still, Marco Battaglia, Charles Fisher, Keiwan Ratliff. Gio Bernard was a so-so 2nd round pick.

A 3rd round pick should contribute in his rookie year and become an eventual starter. Starting in his second year with solid contributions off the bench his rookie year would be a decent 3rd pick. Of course that's qualified by good play when he starts.

A 4th round pick should contribute during his rookie year and, at the very least be a viable backup who isn't letting his team down when he comes in. Special teams contributor is a must. If he can't do that for the duration of his first contract then he wasn't a very good pick. If he becomes a front line starter, like say Atkins, then we was a awesome pick.

5th through 7th round are long shots. Those that step in and contribute decent play on teams or as a backup were good picks.
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RE: My general expectations for draft picks - BengalChris - 06-03-2020, 10:38 PM

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