07-13-2020, 12:25 PM
(07-13-2020, 12:41 AM)jason Wrote: Bars and indoor dining are shutting back down in certain states. Perhaps the world is opening back up... I don't know, but I know that they remained shut down longer than we did and have a lower rate of infection. I'm also not sure where the black and white thinking comes from. The death rate is low? The death rate lags behind the number of cases. It takes a minute to kill you. You may be right about that, but it remains to be seen. I heard the other day that 20% of cases require some form of hospitalization. I don't have it in front of me but 10 to 15% of the population seems low considering the elderly, diabetics, the obese, those with breathing problems, and God knows what else. Bottom line that sucker can kill ya. I've heard way more than one example of people dying from it who are younger than me with no underlying conditions... But you may get it, and never know you have it. Its a sneaky bastard for sure.
I don't just look at death, I look at ICU and hospitalization. The admit to hospital rate is less than 10% in past few months, closer to 6%. The admit or move to ICU rate is around 2% here in Ohio. So if you assume those who are most risk to die go to ICU first, there is no evidence the death rate will increase, in fact the more people who are diagnosed and live is greatly reducing the death rate.
Keep in mind WHO and experts said this virus would kill 1.2 million Americans alone. They were very wrong, a good being wrong.
FYI, just found this from CDC update:
The government agency added a new part to its report, an "Infection Fatality Ratio," which "takes into account both symptomatic and asymptomatic cases and may therefore be a more directly measurable parameter for disease severity for COVID-19." The new metric states that 0.65 percent of those with COVID-19 are estimated to die.
If accurate, the death rate is not much higher than the flu.
I am so ready for 2024 season. I love pro football and hoping for a great Bengals year. Regardless, always remember it is a game and entertainment.