08-06-2020, 01:28 AM
(08-05-2020, 12:44 PM)Wes Mantooth Wrote: Then that means you're going to have an awfuly disappointing season from either Green, Higgins, or Boyd.
There's simply not enough balls to go around. For Ross to have a legitimate season it's probably going to mean at least 800 yards and 5 TD's. Those yards and TD's are going to have to come at the expense of others that are currently projected to be bigger contributors.
Think of it this way, if the follow players hit these numbers, what's left?
AJ Green - 1,000 yards
Tyler Boyd - 1,000 yards
Tee Higgins - 600 yards
Mixon/Bernard - 600 yards
Uzomah/Sample - 600 yards
Misc (Tate/Willis/Carter/Erickson) - 250 yards
Total - 4,050 yards
Those are all pretty conservative benchmarks. The numbers out of the running backs and TE spots are basically pulled from our averages over the last few seasons. The misc. number is probably low.
It's really easy to say "I think AJ is back, and has a good season", "I think Boyd keeps his numbers up", "I think Tee Higgins has a productive first year", etc. But when you start looking at the actual numbers it will take for all of that to happen, there's simply nothing left for Ross to do on a large scale.
So you have to take your pick, is it he has a good season and we all want him back, but one of these other guys really underperforms? Or is John Ross doesn't do a whole lot, and ends up with under 400 yards? You can't have your cake and eat it too.
Good points, and they're well taken. BUT...it is possible that we have 3 receivers with 1000 yards. It's happened before. 5 times before.
And there've been eleven times when trios of receivers on the samne team got 900 yards or more.
Check it out here.
Today I'm TEAM SEWELL. Tomorrow TEAM PITTS. Maybe TEAM CHASE. I can't decide, and glad I don't have to.