10-25-2015, 03:30 PM
(10-25-2015, 03:15 PM)Synric Wrote: You can't just say 1 more yard per carry makes it better. What's the first down percentage? What's the TD percentage? You are only giving part of the equation.
I gave my part. So it is up to you to proved your part.
ProFootballOutsiders has a great stat for RBs called "success rate". A run is a "success" if it gains 40% of the yardage needed on first down (typically 4 yards on first-and-ten), 60% on second down, or 100% on third down. (I think they adjust these percentages in the fourth quarter if the RB's tream is either losing or winning by a large margin)
So if you can find Hill's success rate in the shotgun versus "under center" then I will concede that number might be more important than yards-per-carry. But I have watched a lot of Bengal games and I do not get the impression that Hill is more successful when Dalton is under center.
