AJ Green: Lets Face the Truth

[*ochocincos*]

(10-11-2020, 07:29 PM)Isaac Curtis: The Real #85 Wrote: Maybe you should look harder. Or in a mirror?

You have to evaluate decisions based on the info you have when you make them, not how they turn out.

Example: Someone is playing blackjack, hits on 18, draws a 3, and wins. Yeah, it worked out, but it was still a stupid decision.

Here, you have a former all-star WR coming off a year he missed due to injury. He's not young, but hardly ancient at 32. The team has plenty of cap room. Picking up the tag did not cost us anything. We dradted a WR in R2 just in case AND have another productive WR in Boyd.

No offense, but since you seem to have trouble with higher level reasoning, I will go ahead & spell it out for you. 

Picking up AJ 's tag was a GOOD decision. Why?

1) Low risk, high reward.

We had cap space. Still do. We did not release anyone significant to keep him. And he only has this year left. No sunk costs. No opportunity cost in keeping him. And if he is back to his old self we are in high cotton with Boyd, Higgins, and AJ giving Burrow weapons. 

2) He was a Pro-Bowl level player the last time he was healthy. Letting him walk for nothing without even seeing what he has left would have been boneheaded.

Last time I checked, we have exactly 1 other guy who made the Pro Bowl the last time they were healthy (Atkins). You do not let guys that good walk. 

3) If we'd have let him walk, if he'd have had 1 good game elsewhere, you'd have been on here saying how dumb we were. And you'd have been right.

4) Giving him a fat extensiom or cutting a proven player to keep him, THAT would have been dumb.

5) EDIT: And while the early returns are poor, there is still a chance that the real culprit here is ZT/OL. We have 11 games left to find out. Still, worst case is we have $18 mil to spend on the OL or guys that can still play next year (Bates).


No offense, but you make Mike Brown look like a super-genius.

How is $18.1 mill guaranteed for 1 season "low risk"?
Green had not played in a game for nearly two years and had never played in Taylor's scheme.
He's also over the age of 30, which does not bode well for WRs coming off injuries that kept them out for more than a year.

You severely needed OL after last season and instead chose to give a hefty chunk of $$ to a WR who is now averaging under 25 yards a game and is seeing fewer targets game after game. Green was behind Higgins, Boyd, Mixon, Bernard, and Sample in targets today.

I realize the draft happened after the franchise tag was placed, but the Bengals knew they had a good chance to get a quality WR early in the draft in what was a loaded class, plus they could have signed a cheaper FA if AJ had left.