11-19-2020, 04:41 PM
(11-19-2020, 03:48 PM)Truck_1_0_1_ Wrote: Anyways, 3 years at 20 mil puts him somewhere between Willie Snead and Perriman:
Snead: 33 25 356 14.2 3 34 2.8 39.6 Much better catch% and 3 TDs, otherwise the same.
Corey Davis: 48 34 436 12.8 3 38 4.9 62.3 Better across the board.
Perriman: 24 16 219 13.7 2 50 3.2 43. Still better.
So yeah, I probably overvalued him a bit; would need to go under the 6 mil tier then, I guess, which puts him on par with Amendola and Patterson (who isn't really a typical WR).
Still think he's got something left in the tank though and I'll die on that hill.
Willie Snead signed a 1 year 6 million dollar deal. He's also 28 and has no injury history whatsoever. You're calling for a multi-year deal for a 32 year old, oft-injured AJ Green, and at a higher amount. It's insanity.
Not only does Snead have a much better catch % (75 to 45), he's averaging 4 yards more a catch (14 to 10). He's also playing in an offense that's 31st in the league in pass attempts (less opportunites), while AJ Green is playing in an offense that's 2nd in attempts (more opportunites). Throw in the difference in TD's (3 to 0), and it's not even close.
Corey Davis is still on his rookie deal. I don't how you're trying establish the market for AJ Green by using a contract that was inked by 5th overall draft pick in 2017.
And better across the board doesn't really do the disparity justice IMO. Cory Davis has put those numbers up in 2 less games played. 25% more in yardage, 25% in YPR, 25% more in catch%, all the while playing in 20% less games.
Bernard Perriman is yet another short term deal. 1 year 6 mil + incentives up to 8. He's also signed it at the age of 26.
Cordalle Patterson signed a 2 year 10 million dollar deal (5 mil per) at the age of 26. He's another player who doesn't help set the market for a soon to be 32 year old AJ Green.
There's a very good chance that all four of these guys are gone from their current teams next season too. Snead's 1 year is up, Perriman's 1 year is up, Patterson's 2 year is up, and Davis option wasn't picked up. None of these guys are examples of players that have been made a long term priority by their respective teams, and they're all under the age of 30.
