01-09-2021, 08:31 PM
Compensatory picks should never factor into choosing which free agents most help your team.
1.) This team desperately needs to have real success in 2021. Potential picks in 2022 do nothing to help them right the wrongs of these last few years.
2.) Compensatory picks are FAR from guarantees. You're talking a 3rd here, maybe a 5th here, etc. Even if you getting lucky enough to hit on one you probably won't see starter help that will greatly improve your roster for 2 or 3 years down the line.
3.) The compensatory is the most confusing forumula ever. Why? Because the NFL has never actually released it. You can't just pencil in a 3rd for this player and a 5th for this player. It's dependent on the contract they sign, and what other teams do. It's also cumulative, not player by player. If you lose 2 higher end free agents but sign 4 average free agents it equals out more than what OP suggests.
4.) With a decreased salary cap you expect a lot of teams to let their own free agents walk (in addition to cuts). You'll also see reduced spending on players that aren't cream of the crop. The market for 2nd and 3rd tier FA will be flooded with decent players. Remember, they only award so many of these things. If there's numerous teams losing FA's, and a player of AJ Green's current caliber signs a cheaper deal, I wouldn't expect that loss to go a long way into earning you a pick.
I'm sorry, but the fact we're even on here discussing whether we'll sign more players, or bank on comp picks is so sad. Stockpiling comp picks was never supposed to be a strategy, no matter how much Geoff Hopson has tried to convince you so. It's supposed to be a little bonus for when you suffer great losses due to being up against the cap. It never should preclude you from bettering your team from year to year.
If this team has comp picks in mind heading into free agency then we're already dead in the water.
1.) This team desperately needs to have real success in 2021. Potential picks in 2022 do nothing to help them right the wrongs of these last few years.
2.) Compensatory picks are FAR from guarantees. You're talking a 3rd here, maybe a 5th here, etc. Even if you getting lucky enough to hit on one you probably won't see starter help that will greatly improve your roster for 2 or 3 years down the line.
3.) The compensatory is the most confusing forumula ever. Why? Because the NFL has never actually released it. You can't just pencil in a 3rd for this player and a 5th for this player. It's dependent on the contract they sign, and what other teams do. It's also cumulative, not player by player. If you lose 2 higher end free agents but sign 4 average free agents it equals out more than what OP suggests.
4.) With a decreased salary cap you expect a lot of teams to let their own free agents walk (in addition to cuts). You'll also see reduced spending on players that aren't cream of the crop. The market for 2nd and 3rd tier FA will be flooded with decent players. Remember, they only award so many of these things. If there's numerous teams losing FA's, and a player of AJ Green's current caliber signs a cheaper deal, I wouldn't expect that loss to go a long way into earning you a pick.
I'm sorry, but the fact we're even on here discussing whether we'll sign more players, or bank on comp picks is so sad. Stockpiling comp picks was never supposed to be a strategy, no matter how much Geoff Hopson has tried to convince you so. It's supposed to be a little bonus for when you suffer great losses due to being up against the cap. It never should preclude you from bettering your team from year to year.
If this team has comp picks in mind heading into free agency then we're already dead in the water.
