01-18-2021, 05:05 PM
(01-18-2021, 04:13 PM)Bengalholic Wrote: The end results would also seem to suggest that teams who can't stop the run don't generally do well.
Of the 11 teams that allowed 2,000 or more rush yards, 9 allowed 418 or more points and none had a winning record.
Of the 12 teams that allowed 1,800 or less, 8 had winning records and made the playoffs.
Allowing teams to run doesn't end up working out very well if you're really bad at stopping them.
This goes to the horrible stat Lapham used to use about “when X gets Y carries the Bengals are such and such”. Teams that are ahead tend to run more than teams that are trailing. It would then stand to reason that teams who are well out ahead give up less rushing yards because teams have to chase, and they run more to shorten the game. If you look at the teams left in the playoffs, I saw a stat this morning that all 4 are top 6 in essentially first down passing adjusted for a non favorable situation or basically taking out 1st and goal from the one. Basically, teams that pass and don’t just run to open drives have had great success this season. Passing wins in the league right now and stopping the pass far outweighs stopping the run because the run is best stopped as a function of the score.