01-19-2021, 09:34 AM
(01-18-2021, 08:30 PM)Wes Mantooth Wrote: There's no right answer here, as I understand both are important. But I do think you're mistaken if you think points allowed is all that matters when grading a defense. Yardage tends to be much easier to digest, although it's full of imperfections too (Ex: Time of possession).
Yea, see I am going full analytics on you here as time of possession is one of those fake stats that actually mean nothing but get propped up (Similar to equating number of carries to success). This is actually not a really new understanding in the analytics community but one that still seems really foreign to many. As for your main argument, my basis of referring strictly to PPG was because the two metrics presented were PPG and YPG. YPG has no value whatsoever as the game theory will tell you that yards can't lose you the game only scoring can so that is why in context PPG is all that matters. There are more advanced metrics out there that adjust PPG versus field position that gives you an expected PPG vs actual PPG which is a better indicator of a team's ability to prevent scoring on defense but that was not a ranking we were comparing.
We could go on and on about analytics and the way the game is viewed but that's like a whole other thread. Getting back into this thread, if people don't agree with my analytical view of it just look at what the rest of the NFL is telling you. Wade Phillips has begged for a job for a year and no one has hired him on as anything. I think that is the NFL telling you what they think of Wade Phillips right now. The NFL probably wouldn't hire Lou on either, maybe or maybe not, but the point is you don't swap out bad parts for more bad parts when there is collateral damage just from the act of swapping. If the other coach being discussed was someone who wasn't 73 and out of the league for a year I think there would be a better argument for swapping out Lou.