01-25-2021, 06:50 PM
My hot take, that will get so much anger and hostility thrown at it:
If year 3 of Taylor is a failure and you move on from him, you should also trade Burrow for a 1st rounder and move on from him as well.
No wait... don't start foaming at the mouth just yet, there is a reason to this.
If this season is a failure, that is year two of the rookie contract wasted.
Now, I know it has happened sometimes, but it is very very rare that a new coach comes into a bad team and takes them to the playoffs. This also means you are counting on the Bengals front office to sign the right coach.... yikes.
Let's be honest, if Taylor gets fired we are probably a 5 or 6 win team at best. So, new coach, and new system, means the team is probably looking at 8 wins. 3rd year of the rookie contract now wasted.
Year 2 of the new coach, maybe we get lucky end up as a wildcard team. Probably not going to make a deep playoff run your first time in at this point, would be 7 years since we made the playoffs? So year 4 of the rookie contract is now gone.
Now, you have a shot at maybe a deeper playoff run. Year 5 option year is going to be expensive. New contract after year 4 also really going to be expensive. So, do you dismantle the roster to keep the QB?
My thought is that if you get a new coach, let him get a QB in the draft and this extends the window of being competitive. This is a Brown family owned team, we have to stop believing they will scout and do things right to build a constant winning team.
Now, please remember. I am not saying Burrow isn't a good QB with a high ceiling. He is, but all the hype before the draft about him and how he was so far above all the other QBs, yet I saw Herbert doing good things in LA, I saw Jalen Hurts look like he has the chance to do things in Philly, it is so rare that there is just one good QB in a class. I just think if we are going to waste the entire rookie contract of Burrow rebuilding, why not extend that window to 5 years again with another top rookie passer while landing a 1st round pick out of Burrow (as long as he plays to the high level again.)
If year 3 of Taylor is a failure and you move on from him, you should also trade Burrow for a 1st rounder and move on from him as well.
No wait... don't start foaming at the mouth just yet, there is a reason to this.
If this season is a failure, that is year two of the rookie contract wasted.
Now, I know it has happened sometimes, but it is very very rare that a new coach comes into a bad team and takes them to the playoffs. This also means you are counting on the Bengals front office to sign the right coach.... yikes.
Let's be honest, if Taylor gets fired we are probably a 5 or 6 win team at best. So, new coach, and new system, means the team is probably looking at 8 wins. 3rd year of the rookie contract now wasted.
Year 2 of the new coach, maybe we get lucky end up as a wildcard team. Probably not going to make a deep playoff run your first time in at this point, would be 7 years since we made the playoffs? So year 4 of the rookie contract is now gone.
Now, you have a shot at maybe a deeper playoff run. Year 5 option year is going to be expensive. New contract after year 4 also really going to be expensive. So, do you dismantle the roster to keep the QB?
My thought is that if you get a new coach, let him get a QB in the draft and this extends the window of being competitive. This is a Brown family owned team, we have to stop believing they will scout and do things right to build a constant winning team.
Now, please remember. I am not saying Burrow isn't a good QB with a high ceiling. He is, but all the hype before the draft about him and how he was so far above all the other QBs, yet I saw Herbert doing good things in LA, I saw Jalen Hurts look like he has the chance to do things in Philly, it is so rare that there is just one good QB in a class. I just think if we are going to waste the entire rookie contract of Burrow rebuilding, why not extend that window to 5 years again with another top rookie passer while landing a 1st round pick out of Burrow (as long as he plays to the high level again.)