How much does age matter when drafting a QB?

[THE PISTONS]

I've seen some people who want us to take Tua. Some Burrow. This is interesting:

How much does age matter when drafting? More than you'd think.https://t.co/wmYj3C8fN4 pic.twitter.com/xAEXW6FEgl

— JG (@JoeGoodberry) October 20, 2019

<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

[THE PISTONS]

- Tua turns 22 next March
- Justin Herbert turns 22 next March
- Joe Burrow turns 23 this December
- Jake Fromm will be 21 at the draft (turns 22 next July)
- Jacob Eason turns 22 this November
- Jordan Love turns 21 this November https://t.co/BVgvl3TXfF

— JG (@JoeGoodberry) October 20, 2019

<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

[THE PISTONS]

Besides his arm stength, Ryan Finley was 24 years old when drafted (will be 25 as a rookie). Find me a productive QB that was drafted at 24 years old. https://t.co/HOFvlNukh1

— JG (@JoeGoodberry) October 19, 2019

<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

[*rfaulk34*]

(10-19-2019, 11:03 PM)THE PISTONS Wrote:

Besides his arm stength, Ryan Finley was 24 years old when drafted (will be 25 as a rookie). Find me a productive QB that was drafted at 24 years old. https://t.co/HOFvlNukh1

— JG (@JoeGoodberry) October 19, 2019

<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

Staubach was 27 when he got to the NFL.

He didn't start full time until he was 31. 

Hall of Fame!!!!!

Elway was 24 when he started his first game in the NFL.

Hall of Fame!!!!!

Montana was 24 when he started his first game in the NFL.

Hall of Fame!!!!!

Brady was 24 when he became a full time starter (2nd year).

Hall of Fame and G.O.A.T.!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

[*bfine32*]

(10-20-2019, 12:38 AM)rfaulk34 Wrote: Staubach was 27 when he got to the NFL.

He didn't start full time until he was 31. 

Hall of Fame!!!!!

Elway was 24 when he started his first game in the NFL.

Hall of Fame!!!!!

Montana was 24 when he started his first game in the NFL.

Hall of Fame!!!!!

Brady was 24 when he became a full time starter (2nd year).

Hall of Fame and G.O.A.T.!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Russell Wilson was 24 his rookie year

[*rfaulk34*]

(10-20-2019, 01:06 AM)bfine32 Wrote: Russell Wilson was 24 his rookie year

Too bad QBs are only good when they're drafted at 21. 

[Socal Bengals fan]

Herbert impressed me a lot today. Becoming a fan of his. no to burrow.

[*bengalfan74*]

I'd like to see how they arrived at those numbers ?

[Bengalbug]

Rodgers was 25 when he started

Palmer was drafted as a rookie his age 24 season and was 25 years old the end of his first year starting

[THE PISTONS]

(10-20-2019, 10:28 AM)bengalfan74 Wrote: I'd like to see how they arrived at those numbers ?

Here's the article:

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/age-played-a-bigger-role-in-the-nfl-draft-its-about-time/

Note: I see peoples comments. They looked at only 1st Round QB's and age when drafted.

So guys like Russell Wilson and Andy Dalton wouldn't be on this because they weren't 1st Round picks. (Kind of makes sense to look at only 1st though because A LOT of QB's get drafted later who never play.)

[THE PISTONS]

(10-20-2019, 10:59 AM)Bengalbug Wrote: Rodgers was 25 when he started

Palmer was drafted as a rookie his age 24 season and was 25 years old the end of his first year starting

Rodgers was apparently 21 when drafted. He's actually the highest rated example:

The six signal callers age 21 and younger by September of their draft year have by far the greatest average value, at 75. And it’s not just Aaron Rodgers, who has posted a 128 career approximate value. Alex Smith (93 CarAV), Matthew Stafford (85) and the retired Michael Vick (93) were also successful picks at this age. This would be good news for the team that this year took the youngest of the highly drafted passers, the Jets with soon-to-be-21-year-old Sam Darnold. The returns diminish dramatically with the 10 QBs at age 22, even though they were drafted higher on average (seventh versus ninth). And the bust rate (players with a CarAV below 40) increases from 33 percent to 50 percent. Likewise, 11 of the 18 picks (61 percent) at age 23 were busts. This age 23 group houses some of the most notorious draft disasters in this time period: Tim Tebow, Christian Ponder and Jake Locker were all 23 by Sept. 1 of their draft year. Locker, drafted No. 8 overall in 2011, was so tired of football that he walked away from the game at age 26.

[fredtoast]

2002 NFL leading passer Chad Pennington was 24 when drafted.

2 X Super Bowl Champion Eli Manning was 23.

Matt Ryan and Carson Wentz were 23.