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Bengals Win Out + Broncos & Colts go 2-3, Dolphins go 3-2 & WE'RE IN!!!
(12-16-2024, 04:41 PM)Timanky12 Wrote: Other than that, which you mention, is there anything else? Sun doesn’t rise, Xmas never comes, etc.

We have better luck playing roulette and placing all our money on one number, then all those scenarios panning out. 

Bengals odds right now are 12.5%. It was only 2% a week ago. (One number in roulette is about 2.7%)

If Denver and Miami lose this week, and Bengals win -- all which are quite possible -- then Bengals chance of playoffs will rise substantially. It is Indy losing one of the next three that is unlikely, but if they were to lose next week, the Bengals have a realistic shot. it means Denver would need to lose two games (to the Bengals and Chiefs) and then it would come down to a final game in Pittsburgh.

If the Bengals could get some good fortune and get into the playoffs, anything is possible. Look at the loses Detroit took yesterday, with a number of starters out for the season. Anything could happen.
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Put me in the cp that wanted Indy to lose to Denver.

The Chargers losing out is not gonna happen as long as Herbert is healthy.

Denver is at LAC, at Cincy, and has the Chiefs. With Mahommes dinging his ankle and Buffalo winning in Detroit, the chances of KC taking the last week off took a hit. KC has at Hou and Pitt the next 2.

Indy's schedule is cake. 1 more loss is a big ask. 2 would have been nearly impossible.

Miami's toughest game on paper is this week in SF.

A win for us means we cannot be eliminated, as either the Chargers or Broncos are gonna lose (knock on wood, no ties).
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(12-16-2024, 06:17 PM)ochocincos Wrote: I would almost argue it wouldn't have.

Look at IND's remaining schedule - TEN, NYG, and JAX
Being 7-7 Indy would have just needed to beat two of those remaining teams to knock the Bengals out of contention, and it's even more likely that they get 2 wins compared to all 3.

Tell me something more Colts than only needing to beat Jacksonville in Week 18 to make the playoffs, and losing.
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(12-16-2024, 06:32 PM)TheLeonardLeap Wrote: Tell me something more Colts than only needing to beat Jacksonville in Week 18 to make the playoffs, and losing.

It would be 2021 all over again.





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(12-16-2024, 06:43 PM)rfaulk34 Wrote: It would be 2021 all over again.

I thought it was the same in 2023, but it was the Texans instead of the Jags. Either way, that's 2 of the last 3 years they had a win-and-in situation in Week 18 and lost. I would not bet on them in Week 18 to beat the Jags this year if it's the same situation. Lol
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(12-16-2024, 07:20 PM)TheLeonardLeap Wrote: I thought it was the same in 2023, but it was the Texans instead of the Jags. Either way, that's 2 of the last 3 years they had a win-and-in situation in Week 18 and lost. I would not bet on them in Week 18 to beat the Jags this year if it's the same situation. Lol

I expect the Chargers and Broncos to both get in, leaving the Colts, Dolphins, and Bengals on the outside lookin' in.
Zac Taylor 2019-2020: 6 total wins
Zac Taylor 2021-2022: Double-digit wins each season, plus 5 postseason wins
Zac Taylor 2023: 9 wins despite losing Burrow half the season
Zac Taylor 2024: Started 1-4. If he can turn this into a playoff appearance, it will be impressive.

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OUTSIDE LOOKING IN

8. Indianapolis Colts (6-8): Slim wild card hopes.

9. Miami Dolphins (6-8): Even slimmer wild card hopes.

10. Cincinnati Bengals (6-8): The slimmest of wild card hopes.




The entire AFC playoff picture can be clinched this weekend
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(Yesterday, 12:36 PM)XenoMorph Wrote: OUTSIDE LOOKING IN

8. Indianapolis Colts (6-8): Slim wild card hopes.

9. Miami Dolphins (6-8): Even slimmer wild card hopes.

10. Cincinnati Bengals (6-8): The slimmest of wild card hopes.




The entire AFC playoff picture can be clinched this weekend

I look at it like this:

Sure I'd love to see us somehow? By some miracle? Make the playoffs and win the Super Bowl.

But under our circumstances (defense is horrible) I highly doubt we'd be more than a ML era one and done. So why even want to suffer thru it?
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(Yesterday, 12:36 PM)XenoMorph Wrote: OUTSIDE LOOKING IN

8. Indianapolis Colts (6-8): Slim wild card hopes.

9. Miami Dolphins (6-8): Even slimmer wild card hopes.

10. Cincinnati Bengals (6-8): The slimmest of wild card hopes.




The entire AFC playoff picture can be clinched this weekend

No it can't.

If the Broncos beat the Chargers, it's still "possible" for the Chargers to lose out and end up 8-9. Plus there's no telling what Miami and Indy do. 





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(Yesterday, 01:54 PM)bengalfan74 Wrote: I look at it like this:

Sure I'd love to see us somehow? By some miracle? Make the playoffs and win the Super Bowl.

But under our circumstances (defense is horrible) I highly doubt we'd be more than a ML era one and done. So why even want to suffer thru it?
I can't believe you said this? 
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(12-16-2024, 06:22 PM)Nepa Wrote: Bengals odds right now are 12.5%. It was only 2% a week ago. (One number in roulette is about 2.7%)

If Denver and Miami lose this week, and Bengals win -- all which are quite possible -- then Bengals chance of playoffs will rise substantially. It is Indy losing the next three that is unlikely, but if they were to lose next week, the Bengals have a realistic shot. it means Denver would need to lose two games (to the Bengals and Chiefs) and then it would come down to a final game in Pittsburgh.

If the Bengals could get some good fortune and get into the playoffs, anything is possible. Look at the loses Detroit took yesterday, with a number of starters out for the season. Anything could happen.
Actually if we win out and indy loses 1 game , indy is 8-9 so they would be out
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(Yesterday, 11:11 PM)Essex Johnson Wrote: Actually if we win out and indy loses 1 game , indy is 8-9 so they would be out

yes, good carefully reading. Thank you. I worded it incorrectly. Indy has to lose just one game. They have an easy schedule, so I was trying to convey that there losing one game of the next three might be the most iffy. I'm going to edit that post and state "lose one of the next three" rather than the incorrect "lose the next three."
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One thing at a time. First Denver needs to lose tomorrow.
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Winning out isn't a given, but imagine if only Money made 1 more kick, or Hudson didn't fumble, or no penalty on 4th and 16.... So many what if's just to get 1 more win and make the improbably path to the playoffs easier.
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(6 hours ago)jj22 Wrote: Winning out isn't a given, but imagine if only Money made 1 more kick, or Hudson didn't fumble, or no penalty on 4th and 16.... So many what if's just to get 1 more win and make the improbably path to the playoffs easier.

Yep, being just 7-7 right now would make a HUGE difference.  Hell, at 8-6 we'd be counting on the playoffs.  That's why you have to hit the ground running in week 1 and not sleepwalk and bungle your way through the month of September. 
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Home record, 1-5, is awful and a big part of this.
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(3 hours ago)Goalpost Wrote: Home record, 1-5, is awful and a big part of this.

Yeah, if you had told me going into week 16 that we'd be 5-3 in road games, I'd figure we'd be challenging for the division.  
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(6 hours ago)jj22 Wrote: Winning out isn't a given, but imagine if only Money made 1 more kick, or Hudson didn't fumble, or no penalty on 4th and 16.... So many what if's just to get 1 more win and make the improbably path to the playoffs easier.

Had the Bengals won those three games that you referenced, ain't no telling how it would have altered the season not just for them, but for Baltimore and KC as well. 
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