Reds August 2025 Thread

[cinci4life]

At least they get it right back after giving it up.

[Forever Spinning Vinyl]

(Yesterday, 05:09 PM)TheLeonardLeap Wrote: Steer showing off some forgotten power!

He should be putting out seasons of 25-30 homers, 40-45 doubles.




Marte might be the "Power hitting corner outfielder" that they picked up at the trade deadline.

Credit to Sadak for "The Shrubbery" reference.

[cinci4life]

Winner!!!

[cinci4life]

Brewers just walked off. Reds are only 1.5 back!

[*TheLeonardLeap*]

(Yesterday, 05:46 PM)Forever Spinning Vinyl Wrote: He should be putting out seasons of 25-30 homers, 40-45 doubles.




Marte might be the "Power hitting corner outfielder" that they picked up at the trade deadline.

Credit to Sadak for "The Shrubbery" reference.

After getting caught cheating his rookie season and then following that up with his 2024 season being so bad and so underpowered... I just don't trust him or that his power was legally come by and I am waiting for the inevitable 162 game suspension from strike 2 of getting caught.

I know that's a bit negative, but also, don't rely on or trust cheaters to not cheat.

[cinci4life]

Greene will be back on Wednesday! Hasn't been determined if Martinez or Burns goes to the pen. Hopefully Mey is the one sent back to Louisville.

https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2025/08/hunter-greene-slated-to-return-to-reds-rotation-on-wednesday.html

[Forever Spinning Vinyl]

I like Francona's consistency with the lineup, but I wouldn't mind seeing this lineup, even if only once.
Friedl - CF
De La Cruz - SS
Steer - 1B
Marte - RF
Lux - LF
Andujar/Hays - DH
McLain - 2B
Stephenson - C
Hayes - 3B

[The D.O.Z.]

FOURTEEN runs today! This means 2-3 runs TOTAL over the next two games.

[*ochocincos*]

1.5 games behind primarily because the Mets are in a freefall (lost 7 straight, 1-9 in their last 10).

While I was slightly off in my series predictions for last week (I predicted 1-2 vs Cubs, 3-1 vs Pirates), the record ended up the same (4-3).

Reds have the NL East leaders in the Phillies (2nd best NL record), then NL Central leaders in the Brewers (best NL record) this week before traveling to the West Coast.
If they can come out of this week at least 3-3 or better, that will help them a lot.

[*bengalfan74*]

(9 hours ago)ochocincos Wrote: 1.5 games behind primarily because the Mets are in a freefall (lost 7 straight, 1-9 in their last 10).

While I was slightly off in my series predictions for last week (I predicted 1-2 vs Cubs, 3-1 vs Pirates), the record ended up the same (4-3).

Reds have the NL East leaders in the Phillies (2nd best NL record), then NL Central leaders in the Brewers (best NL record) this week before traveling to the West Coast.
If they can come out of this week at least 3-3 or better, that will help them a lot.

Yes sir this 6 game homestand will tell us much about the rest of the season. We get smoked 1-5 it's gonna be knocking on forget it's door. If we can somehow split it, like you say, 3-3. There might be a chance?

Abbott starting tonight. Can he continue the strong outings? Or is he going to start his normal August fading away?

[*TheLeonardLeap*]

(7 hours ago)bengalfan74 Wrote: Yes sir this 6 game homestand will tell us much about the rest of the season. We get smoked 1-5 it's gonna be knocking on forget it's door. If we can somehow split it, like you say, 3-3. There might be a chance?

Abbott starting tonight. Can he continue the strong outings? Or is he going to start his normal August fading away?

That's pretty much the rest of the season for us regardless of how we do on this homestand.

6 game homestand, both against 1st place teams.
Then we go West for 9 games (3 against the 1st place Dodgers).
Then we have a 9 game homestand, 3 against the Cardinals and 3 against the 1st place Blue Jays, 3 against the Mets.
We have to go West again and play 3 against the surging Padres and then 3 games against an easy Athletics team (but still out West).
Then we have a final divisional gauntlet of @Cards, Cubs (4), Pirates, and @Brewers.

Our only 3 "easy" series for the rest of the year are series we have to travel out West to play (Angel, Diamondbacks, Athletics).


- - - -

14 series left
5 against 1st place teams
8 against current playoff teams

[SunsetBengal]

(7 hours ago)TheLeonardLeap Wrote: That's pretty much the rest of the season for us regardless of how we do on this homestand.

6 game homestand, both against 1st place teams.
Then we go West for 9 games (3 against the 1st place Dodgers).
Then we have a 9 game homestand, 3 against the Cardinals and 3 against the 1st place Blue Jays, 3 against the Mets.
We have to go West again and play 3 against the surging Padres and then 3 games against an easy Athletics team (but still out West).
Then we have a final divisional gauntlet of @Cards, Cubs (4), Pirates, and @Brewers.

Our only 3 "easy" series for the rest of the year are series we have to travel out West to play (Angel, Diamondbacks, Athletics).


- - - -

14 series left
5 against 1st place teams
8 against current playoff teams

If they can't hold their own agains those teams in regular season play, do they even deserve the opportunity to play in the postseason?

[*TheLeonardLeap*]

(7 hours ago)SunsetBengal Wrote: If they can't hold their own agains those teams in regular season play, do they even deserve the opportunity to play in the postseason?

Very fair. I'm still firmly against the 6th playoff spot until they expand to 32. (And don't get me started on the 7th playoff spot in the NFL)

[*bengalfan74*]

(7 hours ago)SunsetBengal Wrote: If they can't hold their own agains those teams in regular season play, do they even deserve the opportunity to play in the postseason?

Yes sir

That's what I did a bad job of saying. If they can't hold their own against these teams on this 6 game homestand, there's little hope remaining. Come out of it with zero wins or only one, you can pretty much throw in the towel.

[SunsetBengal]

(6 hours ago)bengalfan74 Wrote: Yes sir

That's what I did a bad job of saying. If they can't hold their own against these teams on this 6 game homestand, there's little hope remaining. Come out of it with zero wins or only one, you can pretty much throw in the towel.

I kind of feel like with the pitching fielding they've had this year that they should be about 5 games better in the standings than what they currently are. Just so damn streaky and inconsistent at the plate.

[Forever Spinning Vinyl]

(Yesterday, 06:03 PM)cinci4life Wrote: Brewers just walked off. Reds are only 1.5 back!

Padres won, Dodgers lost. The Padres are only 2 games out of the NL West. A month ago, It was around 8 or 9 games.





June 18th
Milwaukee Brewers - lost to fall to 39-35 and .5 games out of wild card spot
Cincinnati Reds - won fourth in a row to tie Milwaukee at 39-35, both 6.5 games behind the Cubs

Milwaukee Brewers - 73-44, best record in baseball, on a 34-9 run right now, 5.5 games ahead of the Cubs
Cincinnati Reds - 62-57 - 12 games behind Milwaukee, 1.5 out of third WC spot, 23-22 since June 18th


MLB.com predicted - Brewers not in the playoffs
https://www.mlb.com/news/2025-mlb-predictions-world-series-champion-division-winners
ESPN predicted 80-82 and ranked them 15th, Reds 21st and 76-86
https://www.espn.com/mlb/story/_/id/44328603/mlb-2025-season-preview-opening-day-power-rankings-playoff-odds-all-30-teams
CBS Sports predicted no playoffs for Milwaukee or Cincy.
https://www.cbssports.com/mlb/news/2025-mlb-standings-predictions-expert-picks-for-every-division-full-projections-as-baseball-season-begins/
The Athletic - Milwaukee 15th, Cincinnati 23rd
https://www.reddit.com/r/baseball/comments/1jder48/theathletic_mlb_preseason_power_rankings/

That's why it's difficult for me to just give up on the Reds. No one saw that coming from the Brewers (I wrongly predicted their demise two seasons in a row) and no one saw St Louis winning 17 straight a few Septembers ago.

When Eric Davis was injured early in the 1990 season, it seemed like everybody upped their game about 5%. No one played out of their mind and no one "carried" the team. Everybody just seemed to focus a bit more until their leader came back. We all know that these guys are capable of playing better than they have been. They just need to get hot for once.

[Forever Spinning Vinyl]

(6 hours ago)TheLeonardLeap Wrote: (And don't get me started on the 7th playoff spot in the NFL)

Too late.

While I'll agree that the 7th place team doesn't really deserve a playoff spot . . . I'd rather see a 7th place team get in than watch a 2nd place team get a bye week. Under the current format, only the unofficial two regular season Conference Champions get a bye week and I'm OK with that.

[*rfaulk34*]

(6 hours ago)SunsetBengal Wrote: I kind of feel like with the pitching fielding they've had this year that they should be about 5 games better in the standings than what they currently are. Just so damn streaky and inconsistent at the plate.

Their expected W/L based on runs scored difference has them 2 games better than they are. If that was the case with them and the Mets, the Reds would be 1.5 ahead right now. 

[Timanky12]

(3 hours ago)rfaulk34 Wrote: Their expected W/L based on runs scored difference has them 2 games better than they are. If that was the case with them and the Mets, the Reds would be 1.5 ahead right now. 

31 of remaining 43 games are against teams with a winning record. 20 of those games are against teams in central division with the Reds.
The reds record against the central division is 14-18.

They have their work cut out for themselves to make the playoffs.