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Bengals -11?
#1
The Bengals are giving up 11 in this one.

The Jets are horrible, and we're coming off too big wins, but do we come in with the same energy and levels of play since the Jets are so bad?

Are we taking them serious enough?

I think Burrow will have everyone preparing and in the game, but Vegas doesn't build those big casinos by losing money.

Do you like the bet this week?

Should I bet it big? Medium? Small?

Would I be breaking the #1 rule of gambling and betting on emotion?
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#2
(10-28-2021, 12:34 AM)BFritz21 Wrote: The Bengals are giving up 11 in this one.  

The Jets are horrible, and we're coming off too big wins, but do we come in with the same energy and levels of play since the Jets are so bad?

Are we taking them serious enough?

I think Burrow will have everyone preparing and in the game, but Vegas doesn't build those big casinos by losing money.

Do you like the bet this week?

Should I bet it big? Medium? Small?

Would I be breaking the #1 rule of gambling and betting on emotion?

That is a lot of points on a third straight road game.  I got it a 9.5, but the real play is the under.  Bengals won't give up many points and they will rotate in backups if they get up.  

Other games I like this week:  

Cowboys -2.5 (Dak has to be playing before I bet it, think he will)
Buccaneers -5.   Had to look at that line twice.  Thought it would be -10
Jags +3.  Lawrence can run enough to move the sticks.  Their defense is playing better and Seattle w/o Russ is poo.  
Atlanta -3.  Don't like their defense at all, but Carolina is poo poo and about to implode.  And it is at Atlanta.  
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#3
(10-28-2021, 08:12 AM)SHRacerX Wrote: That is a lot of points on a third straight road game.  I got it a 9.5, but the real play is the under.  Bengals won't give up many points and they will rotate in backups if they get up.  

Other games I like this week:  

Cowboys -2.5 (Dak has to be playing before I bet it, think he will)
Buccaneers -5.   Had to look at that line twice.  Thought it would be -10
Jags +3.  Lawrence can run enough to move the sticks.  Their defense is playing better and Seattle w/o Russ is poo.  
Atlanta -3.  Don't like their defense at all, but Carolina is poo poo and about to implode.  And it is at Atlanta.  

What about Arizona -6.5 tonight? Cardinals are 5-1 ATS and Packers are missing Adams and Lazard.
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#4
(10-28-2021, 08:12 AM)SHRacerX Wrote: That is a lot of points on a third straight road game.  I got it a 9.5, but the real play is the under.  Bengals won't give up many points and they will rotate in backups if they get up.  

Other games I like this week:  

Cowboys -2.5 (Dak has to be playing before I bet it, think he will)
Buccaneers -5.   Had to look at that line twice.  Thought it would be -10
Jags +3.  Lawrence can run enough to move the sticks.  Their defense is playing better and Seattle w/o Russ is poo.  
Atlanta -3.  Don't like their defense at all, but Carolina is poo poo and about to implode.  And it is at Atlanta.  

I would love ATL with that line. I think Car has fully imploded. I've lost two straight weeks in fantasy because of it.
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#5
(10-28-2021, 11:28 AM)BFritz21 Wrote: What about Arizona -6.5 tonight? Cardinals are 5-1 ATS and Packers are missing Adams and Lazard.

A near TD underdog with Aaron Rogers in primetime has me leaning Packers, but missing Adams is huge.  Not touching it.  I guess I would go Cards based on that, but they are beyond due for a clunker.  
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#6
(10-28-2021, 12:34 AM)BFritz21 Wrote: The Bengals are giving up 11 in this one.  

The Jets are horrible, and we're coming off too big wins, but do we come in with the same energy and levels of play since the Jets are so bad?

Are we taking them serious enough?

I think Burrow will have everyone preparing and in the game, but Vegas doesn't build those big casinos by losing money.

Do you like the bet this week?

Should I bet it big? Medium? Small?

Would I be breaking the #1 rule of gambling and betting on emotion?

Neve bet on a team you root for.

Never bet against a double digit home dog.

So no I wouldn't take the Bengals -11 on the road.
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#7
(10-28-2021, 03:20 PM)SHRacerX Wrote: A near TD underdog with Aaron Rogers in primetime has me leaning Packers, but missing Adams is huge.  Not touching it.  I guess I would go Cards based on that, but they are beyond due for a clunker.  

It's gonna be a lot of Tonyan and Aaron Jones tonight... It'll also be the typical sloppy and lethargic Thursday night game. I I think it's a close game and low scoring. I don't think Arizona covers.
I'm gonna break every record they've got. I'm tellin' you right now. I don't know how I'm gonna do it, but it's goin' to get done.

- Ja'Marr Chase 
  April 2021
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#8
When was the last time we were a double digit road favorite?
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#9
(10-28-2021, 12:34 AM)BFritz21 Wrote: The Bengals are giving up 11 in this one.  

The Jets are horrible, and we're coming off too big wins, but do we come in with the same energy and levels of play since the Jets are so bad?

Are we taking them serious enough?

I think Burrow will have everyone preparing and in the game, but Vegas doesn't build those big casinos by losing money.

Do you like the bet this week?

Should I bet it big? Medium? Small?

Would I be breaking the #1 rule of gambling and betting on emotion?

I think it opened up at -4.5
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#10
(10-28-2021, 06:23 PM)Interceptor Wrote: I think it opened up at -4.5

Yeah,  before Wilson went down and before they  killed Baltiwhore.  
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#11
(10-28-2021, 05:27 PM)Bengalfan4life27c Wrote: When was the last time we were a double digit road favorite?

I went through PFR all the way back to 1988 and saw nothing. Gave up after that.

Our biggest road favorite was 8.5 a couple times in the last 33 years.
The training, nutrition, medicine, fitness, playbooks and rules evolve. The athlete does not.
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#12
(10-28-2021, 03:48 PM)Stewy Wrote: Neve bet on a team you root for.

Never bet against a double digit home dog.

So no I wouldn't take the Bengals -11 on the road.

Never get less than twelve hours sleep
Never play cards with a guy who has the same first name as a city
Never get involved with a woman with a tattoo of a dagger on her body.
Now you stick to that, and everything else is cream cheese.
-Coach Finstock (Teenwolf)
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#13
Jets might score a touchdown in garbage time,after they pull Burrow and some of the starters on defense.Other than that,I’ll give them a couple field goals.
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#14
Believe the Bengals win handily and probably cover.

Now with that being said I don't lay those kind of points in any NFL game wager.

Would look for a better bet to make on another game and just be happy with the Bengals winning
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yet it's only the thirsty that hunger to roam. 
          Roam the Jungle !
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#15
(10-28-2021, 07:35 PM)Shake n Blake Wrote: I went through PFR all the way back to 1988 and saw nothing. Gave up after that.

Our biggest road favorite was 8.5 a couple times in the last 33 years.

Dec5th 1982 we were 14.5 favorites at colts we won 20 - 17. only 4th time Sunday. 0-2-1 all time ats. 3-0 straight up
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#16
(10-29-2021, 11:54 AM)Bengalfan4life27c Wrote: Dec5th 1982 we were 14.5 favorites at colts we won 20 - 17. only 4th time Sunday. 0-2-1 all time ats. 3-0 straight up

I was 20 months old the last time we were favored by double digits. Mellow
The training, nutrition, medicine, fitness, playbooks and rules evolve. The athlete does not.
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#17
(10-29-2021, 07:56 PM)Shake n Blake Wrote: I was 20 months old the last time we were favored by double digits. Mellow

you're just a few months older than my son.. Feb 17th 82..and I was still dating his stripper mother..  Hilarious I went on to marry the ho.. Hint: Don't try that at home kids. Your folks will not be impressed..
In the immortal words of my old man, "Wait'll you get to be my age!"

Chicago sounds rough to the maker of verse, but the one comfort we have is Cincinnati sounds worse. ~Oliver Wendal Holmes Sr.


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#18
I suggested Bengals with the points against the Ravens last week and I'm going to say Jets with the points this week. 11 points is too much. Jets are kinda screwed right now, but after a big emotional win against the Ravens and 3 weeks on the road I don't think that we will win by 11. I wouldn't be surprised if we do, I just don't think we will.
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#19
(10-28-2021, 06:30 PM)SHRacerX Wrote: Yeah,  before Wilson went down and before they  killed Baltiwhore.  
Lol... Wilson is flaming poo, and his injury moves the needle by 7 points? Magic Mike White might be in for a Looooooooonnnnnggg day.
I'm gonna break every record they've got. I'm tellin' you right now. I don't know how I'm gonna do it, but it's goin' to get done.

- Ja'Marr Chase 
  April 2021
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#20
(10-28-2021, 03:48 PM)Stewy Wrote: Neve bet on a team you root for.

Never bet against a double digit home dog.

So no I wouldn't take the Bengals -11 on the road.

So always bet for a double digit home dog?
“History teaches that grave threats to liberty often come in times of urgency, when constitutional rights seem too extravagant to endure.”-Thurgood Marshall

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