How good can Tee Higgins be?

[Whatever]

(04-12-2021, 10:24 PM)KillerGoose Wrote: Hopkins ran a 4.41 at his Pro Day, a hand timed 40. He ran a 4.57 laser timed 40 at the combine.

https://nflcombineresults.com/playerpage.php?i=10231

I don’t care about Pro Day numbers. They are generally inaccurate. Allen Robinson ran a 4.60 at the combine.

https://nflcombineresults.com/playerpage.php?i=21141

Thomas ran a 4.57 at the combine.

https://nflcombineresults.com/playerpage.php?i=22173

Mike Evans ran a 4.53 at the combine.

https://nflcombineresults.com/playerpage.php?i=20891

On top of this, there are several guys who are top receivers that have barely broken 4.5. The difference between a 4.5 and a 4.4 is negligible, that I promise. You aren’t going to see a guy not be successful because he ran a 4.54 instead of a 4.48. There isn’t a threshold to be worried about, unless we are just talking about someone who is slow as molasses.

So we're going to compare Tee's 40 time from his Pro Day to other guys' combine times even though everyone knows most players run faster at their Pro Day?  Since we only have Tee's 40 from his Pro Day, the only fair comparison is other Pro Day times.  

4.5 is considered average for WR's and CB's.  The difference between 4.48 and 4.54 is huge.  The 4.48 guy has the speed to maintain separation out of his break against an average CB.  The 4.54 guy will get caught by the average CB's make up speed, meaning the QB has a much tighter window to get the ball out.