TeamPitts

[*ochocincos*]

(04-28-2021, 01:23 PM)TheLeonardLeap Wrote: Except yards per target doesn't just show how they produced when given the opportunity, because it also is highly dependent upon 50 other factors. Like how long the offense can block (and thus how far down the field they can go), and how accurate their QB is. It's not a particularly helpful statistic.

In 2020, Kelce had 9.8 yards per target.
In 2019, Kelce had 9.0 yards per target. 
BECAUSE
In 2020, Kelce had 8.5 yards average depth per target.
In 2019, Kelce had 9.0 yards average depth per target.


Which is part of the reason why Kelce also caught 1.1% more of his targets. That is 1.1% of the targets turning from 0 yards to 13.5 yards. That could just be the difference between a game in one year where it rained and so there were 2 passes that were uncatchably errant. It's a silly statistic to choose as a standalone for productivity.

- - - - - - - -

Logan Thomas had 110 targets in his 7th NFL season. You said rookie season.

Those 4 games Engram didn't start? He still played at least 77% of the offensive snaps in each of them, which is absolutely a starter's workload. Once again, that was a 3-13 team with 0 750yd receivers and the #2 was a 400 yard guy who was out of the league after that year. 

I will gladly make a sig bet with you that Pitts doesn't get 100 regular season targets his rookie season. I'll even give you a health-out in it.

Bet: Pitts Reaches 100 Regular Season Targets As A Rookie
Payout: "The genius *Insert Victor's Name Here* was right about Pitts and the idiot *Insert Loser's Name Here* was wrong." (First line, centered text in your sig, no quotation marks.)
Payout Date: Monday after the final week of 2021 regular season.
Payout Duration: Until Bengals first game of 2022 regular season
Void Condition: Pitts misses 4+ games with injury or illness. (Healthy Scratches/Suspensions do not count towards the 4.)

Deal?

Holy crap...Logan Thomas entered the NFL 7 years ago?
Wow, time flies.

To be fair though, he came in as a QB. He only started converting to TE in 2017, so it took a few years to get there. Had he been brought in as a TE from the beginning, he might have become a good TE sooner.