09-12-2021, 09:28 PM
For reference, the 4th down decision rated this situation a TOSS-UP. Going for it have a slightly better chance to win and failing the attempt only gave a slightly higher chance of losing. It also said we had a 69% chance of success.
If we punted, we have an 88% chance of winning.
If we go for it and get it, we have a 92% chance of winning.
If we go for it and don’t get it, we have an 82% chance of winning.
If we punted, we have an 88% chance of winning.
If we go for it and get it, we have a 92% chance of winning.
If we go for it and don’t get it, we have an 82% chance of winning.
