Why Not?

[casear2727]

(03-09-2022, 01:52 PM)oncemoreuntothejimbreech Wrote: Name one 2021 rookie WR who did better in the playoffs not named Ja’marr Chase. It’s a short list: no one.

Name the 2021 rookie WRs who matched or exceeded Boyd’s regular season stats. It’s a little longer: Ja’marr Chase, Jaylen Waddle, Devonta Smith, and Amon-Ra St. Brown. Only one was drafted outside of the Top 10.

Including playoffs, Boyd had 82 receptions and 1 drop. Or he dropped 1.2% of passes that hit his hands. If the ball hits a receiver’s hands only one of two outcomes are going to happen; he’ll catch it or drop it. Kinda like a coin toss. Heads or tails. 50/50. Boyd had 81 consecutive receptions before his only drop. The odds of flipping a coin and getting 82 consecutive heads before the first tails is 1 in 4.8 septillion. I didn’t even know what a number with 24 zeros was called. Had to look it up. And that coin wasn’t being covered by an NFL DB like Boyd.

I don’t think the team should cut a starter because you want to ignore 81% of last year’s sample size due to conformational bias to support a predetermined outcome.

I think you are still not understanding my point.  It is all about improving the oline so the other pieces are better.

1)  A $10M RG and Trent Taylor at slot most likely wins us that Super Bowl.  (This should be enough)

2)  Boyd is very talented, over-qualified for the value of his position in this offense.  (Having Von Miller at edge would be great but if he is the 3rd option and we still have a shitty oline why sign him?)

3) Boyd will never be as valuable as he is today with his production this season and TWO years on his contract.  So max value is now.

4) Our oline targets prices are rising fast due to the limited numbers, an extra 10M is huge to sign add 3M more to 3 different guys potential contracts or 4 to two, whatever.  This gets us top tier linemen.  (Going by salary not guaranteed $ aspects)

5) We can draft an electric slot guy that runs way faster than Boyd and is a danger each time he touches the ball, for $9M less, and we may lose the sure hands of Boyd during the season (not the SB).

6)  I believe that in order to be annual contenders we must be very focused on paying selective priority positions to get the best players in those positions.  QB, Oline, WR1, WR2



The only legitimate argument that I have seen is Boyd being the best insurance policy if we lose Chase or Higgins.  But Von Miller would be a hell of an insurance policy if we lost Hubbard or Hendrickson and we dont want him.

It is not happening, so not sure how long you want to. keep up this hypothetical argument?  Unless you just enjoy the debate which is fine with me, I can get you to come around.