02-01-2024, 10:55 PM
(02-01-2024, 10:51 PM)Luvnit2 Wrote: We are long way from November, but here is polling data prior to 2020 Presidential race. Some say 538 is more accurate, but in reality based off this, they had Biden winning by 8.4%. It appears Harris and Rasmussen were the closest to actual outcome, 2 polling places also on real clear politics.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2020/national/
Weirdly enough, smarkets has the most likely D presidential candidate at the moment as Biden with 83.3% and second place is Michelle Obama at 10.64%. I guess the idea is that Biden may drop dead and democrats would just put a familiar name on the ticket? Hell if I know. I'm not taking that bet.
https://smarkets.com/event/41936389/politics/us/2024-presidential-election/2024-democratic-presidential-nominee
![[Image: 4CV0TeR.png]](https://i.imgur.com/4CV0TeR.png)
