03-29-2024, 07:54 PM
(03-29-2024, 07:41 PM)Belsnickel Wrote: Yeah, I read it and then looked at the polling data. The crosstabs don't really jive with the premise of the article. They had 1,085 respondents with 30% saying they had voted by mail-in or absentee. Their figures should, in theory, give a 3% MOE but the actual returns in 2020 were 46% mail-in or absentee so their findings are definitely off. Also, the claimed fraudulent activity was pretty evenly split between Democrats and Republicans meaning that there would not likely be a measurable effect.
But none of that makes for a good opinion piece from a partisan think tank, so yeah.
Yes, I think the primary goal was to create an appearance of "running data" in scientific sounding
scenarios, to get a succession of precise sounding "what if" percentages to finally explain,
indirectly, why Trump only appeared to lose.