04-27-2024, 09:42 AM
If he didn't punch (or, as some pages said, assaulted) a female fan that was storming the field after a game, he may have been a top 50 pick.
As a player, he has so many outstanding traits. He has ideal size and speed (6'0", 196 lbs, 4.45 40), large hands (9.875 inches), a great RAS (9.09), solid production (1475 yards, 15 TDs over the last 2 seasons), an outstanding yards per reception (18.0 for career, 20.5 for 2023), an absolutely absurd average depth of reception (16.8 for career, 20 for 2023), one of the best drop rates in the class (2.9%, 0 drops in 2023) and has versatility in both outside and the slot. His contested catch rate for his career is also above average at 52.6%, but closer to 70% in 2023 if I'm recalling correctly (I hear Kollman say it during the live stream).
Some concerns in his profile: He had a very late breakout age of 22.2 (breakout age is an advanced metric that has a positive correlation to success in the NFL. The younger you begin to be a primary target in your college offense, the more likely you are to be a top receiver in the NFL) which is 14% percentile. He also has a very weak YAC/reception rating with just 4.11 YAC/reception. This is virtually identical to Charlie Jones' YAC/reception of 4.10, and this was one of his noted weaknesses as well. The big difference may be that Burton's role in the offense was essentially just a deep threat, and it makes sense that a deep threat doesn't have a ton of YAC. He'd either catch it near or in the end zone or he'd catch it over a guy who then quickly tackles him.
And then, obviously, the assault, and the fact that he's transferred through many schools in high school and college. Nothing ever explicitly indicating he was cut or released from those schools, but it's definitely bizarre.
I had basically written him off for the Bengals because I thought we were all in on high character team captains, and Burton is definitely not that, but because of that I had never actually watched the video of him hitting the fan.
And, look, you're going to sound like an apologist/biased fan when you say it, but it really wasn't that bad. This is not a Joe Mixon situation. It looked more like a slap than a punch to me. You be the judge.
My concern over this assault is less about the possibility of him being arrested for domestic violence of anything like that and more to do with just him being an emotional wreck. Get it together, Jermaine. You can't let your frustration manifest like this.
Regardless, if he lives up to his potential, he's a perfect Tee Higgins replacement who can wreak havoc in the slot for 1 or 2 years while Tee is held captive by the franchise tag. I think it's worth the risk in the 3rd round.
As a player, he has so many outstanding traits. He has ideal size and speed (6'0", 196 lbs, 4.45 40), large hands (9.875 inches), a great RAS (9.09), solid production (1475 yards, 15 TDs over the last 2 seasons), an outstanding yards per reception (18.0 for career, 20.5 for 2023), an absolutely absurd average depth of reception (16.8 for career, 20 for 2023), one of the best drop rates in the class (2.9%, 0 drops in 2023) and has versatility in both outside and the slot. His contested catch rate for his career is also above average at 52.6%, but closer to 70% in 2023 if I'm recalling correctly (I hear Kollman say it during the live stream).
Some concerns in his profile: He had a very late breakout age of 22.2 (breakout age is an advanced metric that has a positive correlation to success in the NFL. The younger you begin to be a primary target in your college offense, the more likely you are to be a top receiver in the NFL) which is 14% percentile. He also has a very weak YAC/reception rating with just 4.11 YAC/reception. This is virtually identical to Charlie Jones' YAC/reception of 4.10, and this was one of his noted weaknesses as well. The big difference may be that Burton's role in the offense was essentially just a deep threat, and it makes sense that a deep threat doesn't have a ton of YAC. He'd either catch it near or in the end zone or he'd catch it over a guy who then quickly tackles him.
And then, obviously, the assault, and the fact that he's transferred through many schools in high school and college. Nothing ever explicitly indicating he was cut or released from those schools, but it's definitely bizarre.
I had basically written him off for the Bengals because I thought we were all in on high character team captains, and Burton is definitely not that, but because of that I had never actually watched the video of him hitting the fan.
And, look, you're going to sound like an apologist/biased fan when you say it, but it really wasn't that bad. This is not a Joe Mixon situation. It looked more like a slap than a punch to me. You be the judge.
My concern over this assault is less about the possibility of him being arrested for domestic violence of anything like that and more to do with just him being an emotional wreck. Get it together, Jermaine. You can't let your frustration manifest like this.
Regardless, if he lives up to his potential, he's a perfect Tee Higgins replacement who can wreak havoc in the slot for 1 or 2 years while Tee is held captive by the franchise tag. I think it's worth the risk in the 3rd round.
![[Image: oN5QAdY.png]](https://i.imgur.com/oN5QAdY.png)
