So Trump?

[BmorePat87]

(02-24-2016, 11:34 AM)Sovereign Nation Wrote: Sorry to say, but this is false.  Trump is dominating the polls.

He has lead by double digits in NH, SC and even NV.

Again Iowa is the lone loss, and that had Cruz using deceit to garner the needed people.  Trump didn't lose by double digits.  Like Cruz and Rubio has.

Now as to 3rd party.  Sure, I can see the party, not embracing Trump.  However I think if Trump is forced to 3rd party, that will just lead to more people wondering WHY?  Why isn't Trump the nominee when he has done so well in the primaries?

It's not false. Trump has struggled to pass his 30-35% ceiling in national polls among all GOP candidates. As candidates have dropped out, we have seen Cruz and Rubio rise in the polls while Trump has stayed the same. Trump is still winning as there are enough candidates to split the remaining 60-65% of Republicans, but if Kasich dropped out and either Cruz or Rubio, the remaining candidate would be well pass 40-45%. 

Trump is benefiting from the fact that the GOP field is stubborn and their egos prevent them from getting behind one candidate. He turns off too many Republicans to ever get above 51% of their support. As Matt said, Republicans will opt for a 3rd party or stay home in November. He had a 35% unfavorable rating with the GOP in January (only Bush was higher). In the latest Ohio poll, he scored the highest on GOP candidates you would definitely not support with 32% of GOP voters saying they wouldn't back him if he won the nomination. 

So has he done well is the sense that he has won 3 of 4? Sure. Has he done well in the sense that he has garnered a majority of Republican's support? No.