02-24-2016, 12:41 PM
(02-24-2016, 12:02 PM)Sociopathicsteelerfan Wrote: Not that long ago I'd be in agreement with you. Now I'm not so sure. Polling over hypothetical match ups are never that reliable. Once the match up becomes a reality and people are faced with the actual choice those opinions tend to change. I think Trump/Sanders is a major win for Trump and I'm starting to think that Trump/Clinton will be very close. Look at swing states alone. I can see Trump's message playing well in Ohio and I can absolutely see him winning Florida as well. People tend to think Hispanics won't vote for Trump but Cubans tend to vote conservative and, I realize I'm generalizing, they don't really identify with other Hispanics and generally wouldn't mind seeing illegals deported. As someone who grew up in CA I can absolutely tell you that there is a huge amount of animosity between Hispanics of different national origin. I believe I told you guys about the Puerto Rican girl I dated who would be furious if people thought she was Mexican.
So, give Trump Ohio and Florida and he absolutely has a path towards an EC victory. Again, I didn't think this possible just a month or two ago, I see it becoming progressively (no pun intended) likely though.
I get it. Someone asked me if I was a Canadian once. Once.
“History teaches that grave threats to liberty often come in times of urgency, when constitutional rights seem too extravagant to endure.”-Thurgood Marshall