07-07-2015, 06:21 PM
(07-07-2015, 08:23 AM)djs7685 Wrote: Uhhh....sort of. I think you're (intentionally) misleading people with these statistics.
If you take out the Saints game, his rating drops all the way down to around 83.5 for the last 6 games.
Other than completing a high percentage of his passes (IMO had a lot to do with playcalling if you consider his <7 YPA in all but 1 of the last 6 games), Andy looked off by the end of the year, injuries to other players or not. It's extremely misleading to claim that he was impressive to end the 2014 season, the only way you can even say that with a straight face is to include the Saints game and pretend the other games don't matter too much.
You are not taking the strength of opponents into account.
His 98.7 rating against the Ravens looks better than his 93.1 rating against the Broncos until you see that Dalton's passer rating against the Ravens was only 8.1 points higher than what that defense allowed on average (90.6), but his rating against the Broncos was 10.7 points higher than what the Broncos defense allowed (82.4).
The best pass defense (passer rating) he faced over the first 5 games was the #10 Patriots, and the #15 Falcons were the only other one that was even in the top half of the league. Over his last 7 games he faced three defenses better than the Pats including the #1 pass defense in the league (#1 Cle, #6 Hou, #8 Den).
Dalton's rating over the first 5 games (98.4) was 7.2 points higher than his rating over the last 7 games (91.2), but the defenses he faced over the first 5 games were weaker. So he might have played a little better, but the claim that he "fell apart" at the end of the year just is not true.
And the "let's pretend one game did not happen" is the silliest argument I have ever heard. He lit up the Saints on the road. You have to give him credit for that.
