10-11-2016, 06:24 PM
(10-11-2016, 06:17 PM)Rotobeast Wrote: Do they include online polls ?
Also, can you share some links to your favorites of which you described ?
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Most do, at least polls conducted online using good methodology. The bias in polls posted on websites that can be answered by anyone contain too much of a bias to be adjusted for using calculations.
My usual go to, being a Virginian, is here: http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/
They use aggregates from state polling to come up with their maps. Having interacted with those folks over at the CFP I have a great respect for them and their methods as political scientists.
RCP also does pretty good aggregate math. http://www.realclearpolitics.com/elections/2016/
You can see that they still have some states as toss ups. Public opinion, by its very nature, is not factual.
"A great democracy has got to be progressive, or it will soon cease to be either great or a democracy..." - TR
"The test of our progress is not whether we add more to the abundance of those who have much; it is whether we provide enough for those who have too little." - FDR
"The test of our progress is not whether we add more to the abundance of those who have much; it is whether we provide enough for those who have too little." - FDR
