12-23-2016, 07:43 PM
Forgot to add the question of how nuclear proliferation would affect the likelihood of nuclear terrorism.
Bad enough that Pakistan has the bomb.
I don't worry much about rational actors like Russia or China starting a nuclear war. An arms race against them makes no sense. I am concerned what happens if five or six more unstable developing countries get the bomb and/or produce poor scientists who know how to make them and will do so for anyone, including non-state actors, for a few million dollars.
The existing system of US diplomacy and alliances went a long way towards controlling this threat. But I am concerned that Trump's unfiltered, unstrained Tweet policy will destroy that system, probably to the cheers of his supporters who see this as the US putting moochers in their place and backing weaker countries down.
Destroying the current Iran treaty also raises fears of blowback.
Bad enough that Pakistan has the bomb.
I don't worry much about rational actors like Russia or China starting a nuclear war. An arms race against them makes no sense. I am concerned what happens if five or six more unstable developing countries get the bomb and/or produce poor scientists who know how to make them and will do so for anyone, including non-state actors, for a few million dollars.
The existing system of US diplomacy and alliances went a long way towards controlling this threat. But I am concerned that Trump's unfiltered, unstrained Tweet policy will destroy that system, probably to the cheers of his supporters who see this as the US putting moochers in their place and backing weaker countries down.
Destroying the current Iran treaty also raises fears of blowback.
![[Image: 4CV0TeR.png]](https://i.imgur.com/4CV0TeR.png)
