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Head coaching grades for all 32 current HC's
#95
UPDATED RANKINGS WITH NEW COACHES:

^ means the coach moved up in ranking
v means the coach moved down
= means they stayed the same, obviously


= 1. Bill Belichick: +31.6 (22 seasons with Browns, Pats)
^ 2. Mike McCarthy: +22.2 (11 seasons)
^ 3. Mike Tomlin: +21.7 (9 seasons)
v 4. John Harbaugh: +21.0 (9 seasons)
^ 5. Pete Carroll: +19.8 (11 seasons with Jets, Pats, Seahawks)
^ 6. Dan Quinn: +17.5 (2 seasons)
v 7. Chuck Pagano: +15.0 (4 seasons)
v 8. Sean Payton: +14.9 (9 seasons)
^ 9. Andy Reid: +13.1 (18 seasons with Eagles, Chiefs)
^ 10. Bill O'Brien: +13.0 (3 seasons)
^ 11. John Fox: +10.1 (15 seasons with Panthers, Broncos, Bears)
v t12. Bruce Arians: +10.0 (5 seasons with Colts, Cardinals)
v t12. Ron Rivera: +10.0 (5 seasons)
v 14. Jim Caldwell: +8.3 (6 seasons with Colts, Lions)
^ 15. Jason Garrett: +6.3 (6 seasons)
^ t16. Adam Gase: +5.0 (1 season)
^ t16. Ben McAdoo: +5.0 (1 season)
v 18. Mike Zimmer: +4.0 (3 seasons)
^ 19. Marvin Lewis: +3.4 (14 seasons) *up one spot
^ 20. Dirk Koetter: +3.0 (1 season)
^ 21. Jay Gruden: +1.7 (3 seasons)
^ 22. Jack Del Rio: +1.6 (13 seasons with Jags, Raiders)
v 23. Todd Bowles: 0.0 (2 seasons)
t24. Kyle Shannahan (no experience)
t24. Anthony Lynn (no experience
t24. Sean McVay (no experience)
t24. Vance Joseph (no experience)
t24. Sean McDermott (no experience)
29. Doug Marrone -1.0 (2 seasons)
^ 30. Mike Mularky: -1.8 (4 seasons with Bills, Jags, Titans)
31. Doug Pederson: -3.0 (1 season)
v 32. Hue Jackson: -4.0 (2 seasons)
_________________

Replaced coaches who didn't get another HC gig:

Gary Kubiak: +12.9 (10 seasons with Texans, Broncos) *retired
Rex Ryan: +4.0 (8 seasons with Jets, Bills)
Jeff Fisher: +3.6 (21 seasons with Titans, Rams)
Chip Kelly: +1.8 (4 seasons with Eagles, 49ers)
Mike McCoy: +0.8 (4 seasons)
Gus Bradley: -7.3 (4 seasons)

(Old) Notes:

- This is not a ranking of who is the better coach, it's only meant to judge past success.
- I gave Arians credit for the 2012 Colts, when he coached 12 games with Pagano out.
- keep in mind that Marv's first 8 seasons featured as many 4 win seasons as playoff berths. That hurt his grade, but it happened.

Explanation of grading:

A few years ago - in response to a certain poster who claimed that Marvin Lewis was one of the most successful coaches - I created a grading system to compare Marv's entire tenure to how the rest of the teams fared over the same stretch. I graded each season and added all the points together. The grading system looked like this:

+8 points for 12-16 regular season wins
+5 points for 10-11 wins
+3 for a 9-7 season
0 points for 8-8
-3 for a 7-9 season
-5 for 5-6 wins
-8 for 4 or fewer wins

I added the following bonuses:

+10 for a division title
+10 for each playoff win
+50 for a Super Bowl title


For example, Marv accumulated +18 points in without winning a playoff game, while he got a -5 grade for 2016. A 9-7 team that fails to win it's division, but wins 1 playoff game would accumulate a +13 score. Championship teams usually rack up a +85 score or higher. Not a perfect system, but IMO it's fair. Obviously if you make a deep playoff run or win a title, you should be heavily rewarded. You can also rack up points by winning in regular season and capturing division titles.

This time around, I figured I'd finally take Berserker's advice, and make it more of a coach to coach comparison. In order to do this, I graded every single season by every single current Head Coach. Fortunately, Pro Football Reference has all the information I needed on each coach's page, as it made accumulating the grades go much faster. In order to make the grades fair for comparison, I took each coach's total career points and divided them by total years coached. So the grades are a per season average.
The training, nutrition, medicine, fitness, playbooks and rules evolve. The athlete does not.
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RE: Head coaching grades for all 32 current HC's - Shake n Blake - 03-16-2017, 08:06 PM

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