05-26-2017, 12:32 PM
(05-26-2017, 12:21 PM)bfine32 Wrote: Didn't this incident actually hurt him? From what I understand he was the runaway winner before this incident and afterward the race tightened. I think the voters choose the more Conservative of the two candidates and will be perfectly happy if he is replaced with another conservative if he is found guilty of these charges.
Much like Dems did with Hills on the emails investigation and GOP did with Trump on the Russian investigation.
The polling was tighter than a lot of people realized. Public polls had a wide range of differences, but the margin of error for those was big (sometimes larger than the pollsters themselves admit, but stats nerds can spot). Internals from the GOP, as well as a couple of more public polls, had the race with a Gianforte lead of between 2 and 4 points. And that was before the incident (GOP internals leaked around 22nd, likely to play the expectations game).
"A great democracy has got to be progressive, or it will soon cease to be either great or a democracy..." - TR
"The test of our progress is not whether we add more to the abundance of those who have much; it is whether we provide enough for those who have too little." - FDR
"The test of our progress is not whether we add more to the abundance of those who have much; it is whether we provide enough for those who have too little." - FDR
