08-11-2015, 10:49 PM
(08-11-2015, 10:41 PM)jakefromstatefarm Wrote: Doubtful.
They've got 40% in the bag regardless of who the candidate is. Hell, Obama could have ordered a nuclear strike on San Fran a week before the election in 2012 and he still would have won California LOL.
Assuming Bernie doesn't run as an Independent, that 40% is about right. 30% of Americans call themselves Democrats and 19% are Independents who lean to the left. If he Bernie runs as a 3rd candidate, he's going to turn that 40% to 30%.
What matters is that roughly 15% of Americans who are Independent but do not lean R or D.
![[Image: ulVdgX6.jpg]](http://i.imgur.com/ulVdgX6.jpg)
![[Image: 4CV0TeR.png]](https://i.imgur.com/4CV0TeR.png)