08-11-2015, 10:56 PM
(08-11-2015, 10:49 PM)BmorePat87 Wrote: Assuming Bernie doesn't run as an Independent, that 40% is about right. 30% of Americans call themselves Democrats and 19% are Independents who lean to the left. If he Bernie runs as a 3rd candidate, he's going to turn that 40% to 30%.
What matters is that roughly 15% of Americans who are Independent but do not lean R or D.
Another big factor is turnout, which is tied to enthusiasm.
I really hope Hillary gets the nod, because even her own people despise her. She's seriously a beeotch, and there won't be hardly anyone having trouble sleeping the night before because they can't wake up to go vote for her.