Candidates for 2020 elections.

[BmorePat87]

(06-04-2019, 11:23 PM)Benton Wrote: I'll be shocked if it isn't biden.

He's the 'old white guy' that 80 percent of the country is comfortable voting for. He's one of the most moderate candidates. He's a white guy. He's straight. He was part of a generally liked (by Dems and moderates anyway) administration. And with the groping thing, he should pull in a few extra voters, while still locking down the female vote because of his likely opponent.

4 years ago I'd be shocked if it wasn't Jeb or Rubio. In early June of 2015, they were polling 22% and 15% compared to Trump's 1%. The polls weren't wrong at the time, Trump just wasn't officially in it. Then Trump said he was running and it flipped the race on its head, with Trump getting an instant 15% share. After a month or so, he was in the 20's and from that point onward, Trump led 99% of the polls and never looked back. 

Biden could very well be on that same trajectory. He enters "late" and takes the lead and never looks back. While Trump was not considered beyond 1-4% when he wasn't officially a candidate, Biden was winning polls or tied for first prior to his announcement.

Biden seems to have it.