War with Iran?

[fredtoast]

(06-17-2019, 04:07 PM)fredtoast Wrote: Iran is always supporting these rebel groups that are fighting against Sunni opposition around the world.

(06-17-2019, 06:37 PM)Dill Wrote: Another thing I have not mentioned in previous posts on this thread is the our current Iran policy will allow us to call any attack on an ally by someone we deem an Iranian proxy as an attack on US interests which must be "answered"--this includes a Hamas or Hezbollah rocket into Israel or a Houthi attack on Saudi Forces in Yemen or a mortar landing in the Emerald City.

(06-17-2019, 08:08 PM)Dill Wrote: Also, as I mentioned above, Iran is a regional power with proxies, something neither Iraq nor Afghanistan were. It has great power to destabilize Iraq and Afghanistan all over again. Send a few more units in there too?  Japan, Germany and other allies would be squealling as the oil flow constricted.

(06-19-2019, 05:23 AM)Dill Wrote: neither Iraq nor the Taliban had thousands of rockets which could reach ships and other targets 2,000 km away, with the potential to inflict horrendous damage on US forces before they even arrive.  Nor did either have the potential to expand the conflict to 4-5 other countries. 

(06-19-2019, 11:33 AM)oncemoreuntothejimbreech Wrote:  I also believe an invasion of Iran would result in another proxy war like Iraq for us and Afghanistan for USSR. Saudi Arabia will use Iraq as a proxy vs. Iran. While Russia (Putin) will use Syria to prop up Iran to use against America the way America used Afghanistan in the 1980s vs USSR. All while fomenting the Sunni-Shia schism to add a dash of sectarianism which will breathe new life into ISIS or an ISIS like organization. A proxy war, an insurgency, and a sectarian civil war combined must be a war hawks wet dream. 

(06-19-2019, 03:03 PM)Dill Wrote: A final consideration through all phases would be the effect of an unnecessary war beyond just Iran and the US, i.e., on the regional and global system of international relations. What might the costs and gains be there? First it is hard to see that armed conflict with Iran would be limited to Iran and the Persian Gulf. Second, what opportunities would regional and global players see in the conflict, not all of them our friends? 

If the US attacks Iran it will bust open a hornets nest all across the Middle east.  That is the biggets problem I see.