espn simulates season...

[*bengalfan74*]

(09-02-2019, 03:39 PM)XsandOs Wrote: Agreed.

Computer simulations operate on the assumption that the input is 100% accurate AND 100% efficient.

Aside from the fact that we have new coaching and philosophy, we should remember that we are talking about human beings who play this game.

No human being is perfect and error free.

So, I view computer simulations as garbage in, garbage out.

One could look at a single game toward the end of season, when enough data is available, and make a reasonable assumption.

But an entire season, for all Teams, before any data .......garbage.

Right

Nearly every season there's a team all the "experts" have finishing 4-12 that ends up 9-7 and in the playoff hunt. Likewise nearly every season there's a team they pick as a shoe in playoff team and they finish 6-10. 

I'd bet that if you went back thru all these computer picks you'd find much the same thing.