Bengals need to lose to Miami

[BengalChris]

(12-20-2019, 12:35 PM)bengalguy71 Wrote: Unless my math is off, the Dolphins cannot overtake the Bengals in the draft regardless of what happens.

A Dolphin win Sunday would give them 4 wins, and the Bengals could only finish with 2.

Even if the Bengals win out and the Dolphins lose out, leaving them BOTH with 3-13, the Bengals win the tie breaker with a win OVER the Dolphins.

The only other threat are either the Giants and Redskins, also sitting with 3 losses.

They play each other this weekend, so either one gets a win, and gets eliminated from the #1 pick regardless even if the Bengals win out.  If it ends in a tie, and they both lose the last game, they both finish 3-12-1, still giving the Bengals the worst record by a 1/2 game.

Those 2 teams play the Eagles and the Cowboys the last week so whoever wins between the Skins and Giants will probably lose the last week's game, eliminating BOTH teams.

The scenario I'm not sure about is if whoever wins the Giants/Redskins game, also wins their last game, would finish at 3-13, tying the Bengals IF they Bengals win out.

I don't know how the tie breaker works there.

BOTTOM LINE:  If the Bengals lose one of the last 2, they get #1 pick regardless of what everyone else does!

Strength of schedule determines draft of teams with the same record. The Bengals currently have the 2nd hardest Strength of Schedule. Miami, NY Giants and Washington all have much weaker Strength of Schedule. If all 4 finish with the same record, the Bengals will draft 4th.

Essentially, the Bengals must finish with the worst record to get the 1st pick.

Yes, if the Bengals lose one of the last 2, they get the 1st pick. If they win both and Miami, Washington or NY Giants lose out, the Bengals do not get the 1st pick.