Biden/Buttigieg ticket

[BmorePat87]

(02-27-2020, 08:44 PM)hollodero Wrote: I hope I did not come across as too ignorant... I understand why you want that, and (as far as I can as a foreigner) I share the sentiment.
I do, however, argue that a Pete + woman of color-ticket won't happen. For a nominee Pete won't happen. In this circumstances, it's likely Bernie, and if all the more moderates stay in the race this will be the outcome.
I don't know how all states handle their primaries, but in California, I learned, there's a 15% hurdle to gain any delegates. It might as well happen that most or even all moderates stay below that and Bernie runs away with all the delegates from there. And if one tops the 15%, Bernie still will run away with most.

Which imho can only be avoided if moderates drop out - or team up. I see no third path. I understand that the teaming up option is deeply unconventional. Doesn't mean it can't be done.

Now that sure is not a success story, but didn't Cruz + Fiorina try something like that last time?



To unnecessarily enhance my point once more: If both stay in the race, the only likely thing seems that neither Pete nor Biden hand any position to anyone, for Bernie will be the nominee. That's the basis for all of my words.

One last point, a black or latino VP could be a nice signal for diversity, but a gay VP isn't too shabby a signal either.

The big difference between the GOP primary and DNC primary is that the DNC assigns delegates proportionally. At the current rate, Bernie won't have a majority of delegates, which means that delegates can vote for whoever they want in the 2nd round of voting. You'll likely see some sort of moderate compromise here, and that's the Buttigieg strategy. I think Biden is the more likely option, but Pete is a strong one.

Unless Bernie broadens his base, he won't be able to secure a majority.