Biden/Buttigieg ticket

[hollodero]

(02-27-2020, 11:49 PM)Dill Wrote: One more point--Black voters are at the moment expected to turn out for Biden in good numbers. If he carries it in SC, that will likely continue. That is his edge over every other candidate.

But not with Buttigieg as VP.  There is a risk he might cancel a significant fraction of the black vote for Biden.

I don't know. The black vote might not be in favor of Pete, but do they really dislike him that much? I mean, these are people who are largely with Biden to begin with. Meaning, they seem pragmatic to me, I can't quite imagine a VP Pete would really make them flee in numbers. (I do have zero insight and a very shallow view on that for sure. Doesn't mean I'm wrong.)

But even if it cost him some with the black vote - on the plus side for Biden, he'd have Pete off the ballot. And at least some Pete supporters outright switching over. This all in all hardly could amount to a net negative for Biden.

- Also, bigger picture of course, if the not-Sanderses all stay in the race, then no edge with the black vote for Biden will matter and Bernie will get the most delegates by far. Possibly not as much as he needs though. And to seriouly consider just horsetrading delegates to a way weaker candidate then on a murderous "contested convention" seems disastrous strategy. If one wants a viable more moderate candidate, then the herd needs some serious thinning now, after the next vote the latest, before half the country votes. Amy and Steyer won't be sufficient. Is any of that illogical or untrue.