04-01-2020, 02:50 AM
I ask this question, if the Bengals accepted an offer from the Miami of 3 1sts and 2 2nds this year and a 1st next year for the rights to Burrow, then wouldn't it be better to pass on a QB in the 1st round and fill out the roster needs with upgrades using what would be 6 picks in the first two rounds this year and keeping Dalton behind center? [NOTE: I'm not a fan of taking Tua high in this draft due to the injuries. In fact, I'm against taking injured players high period.]
Surely Dalton under center with a revamped roster would give the team a better chance of winning this year than going with the likes of Herbert? That #5 pick would give the team a top OT or LB Isaiah Simmons or they might be able to trade down a couple of spots and grab WR CeeDee Lamb.
With the #18 pick they could probably grab WR Justin Jefferson (if they didn't take one at #5) or OT or OG or DL or CB (although we have a ton of those) or a S.
With the #26 pick they add another starter to upgrade a weak spot.
Then with their own #33 pick they'd have their choice of 1st round talent that dropped. Add in Miami's #39 and #56 picks possibly take a TE or OG or whoever's at the top their big board. The team could literally upgrade 6 roster spots, all on rookie contracts.
With such a move, Dalton would be playing behind a much upgraded OL, have an abundance of reliable targets (unlike the last season and a half), and the defense would be stacked to the gills. They could even take two WRs early, trade Ross for a bag of peanuts and be set at WR for several years to come.
In addition, Miami will likely have a high pick next season, so even if the Bengals won the SB this year, I'd expect they'd have a top 10 pick from Miami to use to replace a departing free agent or snag a QB next season.
Given the above, I'd have a hard time pulling the trigger and I'm not sure the team could stay under the cap with all those picks and Dalton's contract and wouldn't leave any room to extend Mixon or Jackson and they'd have to extend Dalton for at least through next season. The cap wouldn't work and if the team takes Herbert would he really be an upgrade to Dalton? The trade route has its benefits, but the draft Burrow route would provide your ideal QB for the next 10 or more years and the team would still come out with an upgraded roster for a team on the rise.
I'd go for taking Burrow and the BPA from the team's big board that upgrades a starting spot with the pick at the top of the 2nd round. This is the right move, not matter what someone schooled in theoretical analytics might churn out from their digital assistant, as their digital assistant's results can only be as reliable as the data fed into it, and you can rest assured that if the person feeding in the data doesn't have a thorough grasp of what it takes to win in the NFL then their data will be flawed to that degree. Yeah, I'm making fun of the qualifications analytics people don't have again. Let's not cry in our milk.
And, as an added note, the best case scenario for using all those draft picks is that the Bengals will pick the right guys on all of them and not make any Sample picks. That sounds good in theory, but in practical application we haven't seen them do that in recent years. So that's another reason to stick with the Burrow pick.
Surely Dalton under center with a revamped roster would give the team a better chance of winning this year than going with the likes of Herbert? That #5 pick would give the team a top OT or LB Isaiah Simmons or they might be able to trade down a couple of spots and grab WR CeeDee Lamb.
With the #18 pick they could probably grab WR Justin Jefferson (if they didn't take one at #5) or OT or OG or DL or CB (although we have a ton of those) or a S.
With the #26 pick they add another starter to upgrade a weak spot.
Then with their own #33 pick they'd have their choice of 1st round talent that dropped. Add in Miami's #39 and #56 picks possibly take a TE or OG or whoever's at the top their big board. The team could literally upgrade 6 roster spots, all on rookie contracts.
With such a move, Dalton would be playing behind a much upgraded OL, have an abundance of reliable targets (unlike the last season and a half), and the defense would be stacked to the gills. They could even take two WRs early, trade Ross for a bag of peanuts and be set at WR for several years to come.
In addition, Miami will likely have a high pick next season, so even if the Bengals won the SB this year, I'd expect they'd have a top 10 pick from Miami to use to replace a departing free agent or snag a QB next season.
Given the above, I'd have a hard time pulling the trigger and I'm not sure the team could stay under the cap with all those picks and Dalton's contract and wouldn't leave any room to extend Mixon or Jackson and they'd have to extend Dalton for at least through next season. The cap wouldn't work and if the team takes Herbert would he really be an upgrade to Dalton? The trade route has its benefits, but the draft Burrow route would provide your ideal QB for the next 10 or more years and the team would still come out with an upgraded roster for a team on the rise.
I'd go for taking Burrow and the BPA from the team's big board that upgrades a starting spot with the pick at the top of the 2nd round. This is the right move, not matter what someone schooled in theoretical analytics might churn out from their digital assistant, as their digital assistant's results can only be as reliable as the data fed into it, and you can rest assured that if the person feeding in the data doesn't have a thorough grasp of what it takes to win in the NFL then their data will be flawed to that degree. Yeah, I'm making fun of the qualifications analytics people don't have again. Let's not cry in our milk.
And, as an added note, the best case scenario for using all those draft picks is that the Bengals will pick the right guys on all of them and not make any Sample picks. That sounds good in theory, but in practical application we haven't seen them do that in recent years. So that's another reason to stick with the Burrow pick.
![[Image: 4CV0TeR.png]](https://i.imgur.com/4CV0TeR.png)
