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Trump campaign demands CNN apologize for poll that shows Biden leading
#41
(06-13-2020, 12:14 PM)Goalpost Wrote: Agree that the polls got the popular vote right.  They were off on the 'key' state totals though.  For instance 538 created a category of which states most likely could tip the election.  In their order it went...Florida, Pa, Mich, N Car, Va, Colorado, Ohio, Wisc, Minn, and Nevada.  On the day of the election, Hillary led, going in, in 9 of them, according to 538.   She only won 4 of them.  

Florida...predicted Hillary up .7,  trump won by 2
PA...predicted Hillary up 3.7,  Trump won by 1.
Mich...Predicted Hillary up 4.2, ended in a virtual tie which Trump won
North Carolina...predicted Hillary up by .7, Trump won by 4
Va..predicted Hillary up by 5.6, Hillary won by 5.
Colorado..predicted Hillary up by 4, Hillary won by 3.
Ohio...Predicted Trump by 1.9, Trump won by 9.
Wisconsin..predicted Hillary up by 5.3, Trump won by 1.
Minnesota..predicted Hillary up by 5.8, Hillary won by 1.
Nevada...predicted Hillary up by 1.2, Hillary won by 2.

538 was right.  These key states tipped the election.  But it seems they were maybe, what, about 4 or 5 points in range of error in average of these.  

Thanks, as I said The Polls predicted Hillary would be President
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RE: Trump campaign demands CNN apologize for poll that shows Biden leading - bfine32 - 06-13-2020, 01:45 PM

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