08-16-2020, 04:11 PM
(08-16-2020, 02:59 PM)masterpanthera_t Wrote: Which, while true, doesn't lend to any increase in voter turnout for Biden based on lukewarm excitement in the democratic base during the primaries. Perhaps some changes will happen now. I did read that Carribean based Americans in Florida have been excited by the choice. Florida plays a mighty role in EC calculations and if any sizable fraction of the extra few hundred thousands of this demographic turns out instead of otherwise staying put, the choice of Harris will have paid Biden many times over. Even if it doesn't make a dent elsewhere. Not sure if this was what drove Biden to the choice. On balance I would venture a guess that Abrams could provide more of a boost across the South compared to Harris, but I'm definitely deep in speculation territory now.
VP picks at best provide a modest boost, though rarely to any degree that shifts the electoral map. Though, having a minority woman is unprecedented, so that could change the pattern.